712
FXUS65 KLKN 220919
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
119 AM PST Sat Nov 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1250 AM PST Sat Nov 22 2025

* Warming trend continues through Sunday

* Low chance of isolated snow showers in Northern Nevada on Monday

* Early indications are showing a possible cold and wet storm
  system for the upcoming Thanksgiving weekend

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 1250 AM PST Sat Nov 22 2025

No changes were made to the current forecast.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...VFR conditions and light winds expected
through the next 24 hours. There is potential for VCFG during the
early morning hours at KEKO but occurrence on station is about
ten percent.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Quiet and warming weather this weekend,
due to dominant zonal flow. A weak boundary passage late Sunday
night could spark a few isolated light snow showers in northern
Elko county Monday morning and the associated change to northwest
flow is expected to drop high temperatures back to the low to mid
40s by Tuesday. Weak ridging builds back for Wednesday and
Thursday, bringing temperatures in the 50s for the Thanksgiving
holiday, but long range models are already showing signs of an
atmospheric river event for the Thanksgiving weekend. Current
projections show a mixed valley rain/mountain snow event that will
need to be watched for travel impacts as it develops.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Low confidence in snow showers
Monday due to how weak the forcing looks. Moderate confidence in a
warm Thanksgiving and a storm system after, but low confidence in
timing and impacts of said storm system.

&&


.AVIATION...VFR conditions and light winds expected through the
next 24 hours. Ceilings are expected to continue lifting as skies
clear through the day. Low potential for VCFG overnight at KBAM.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Freezing Fog Advisory until 9 AM PST this morning NVZ031.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86