Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
315 FXUS65 KLKN 042354 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 354 PM PST Tue Feb 4 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Look for strong winds to continue into the evening. A cold front expected to move through the state tonight, bringing in cooler temperatures and increasing chances for rain and snow showers. Active weather continues through the upcoming weekend with gradually cooling temperatures. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Wednesday night. Strong winds continue to gust out of the southwest across all of northern and central Nevada. The strongest winds seen have been in central Nevada where gusts to 50 mph were recorded at remote observation platforms in KELY and KTPH. Look for these winds to continue through the overnight across the region. In addition, precipitation is showing up across California at this time and current model simulations are showing the wet weather will gradually make its way into the area later tonight. This is due to a closed low pressure system that has not moved much over the Pacific Northwest. For tonight, a cold front is expected to cross into Humboldt county, slowly working its way eastward through the early morning hours into the afternoon. Precipitation is expected to remain mostly rain showers in the valleys, though some of the higher valleys above 6000 feet could see up to a half inch. Meanwhile, passes and summits will see up to a half inch. Highs tomorrow will be much cooler with readings in the 40s and 50s. Winds will continue to be breezy to locally windy. A brief respite from the active weather is in store for the overnight on Wednesday with isolated light showers possible in central Nevada with overnight lows in the teens and 20s. .LONG TERM...Thursday through next Tuesday. Troughing returns to Nevada on Thursday as a new system pushes in from the Pacific. Precipitation chances begin mid-morning Thursday and will be mostly snow as snow levels remain below 6000 feet for all but the southernmost part of the forecast area. Some strong winds are also anticipated with this system, with widespread gusts 30-35 mph expected Thursday night and Friday. Precipitation continues through late Friday afternoon when it begins to clear from west to east, leaving cool and calmer conditions behind. Currently 2-6 inches of new accumulation are expected north of I-80 and 0-2 inches south, with locally heavier totals likely on mountain peaks. Cool and quiet for the weekend and start of the work week, but long term models are showing potential for active weather to return starting next Tuesday. Forecast confidence is currently too low for any details, but one potential outcome would result in a significant precipitation event. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions expected at all sites through 06Z Wednesday. After 06Z, some ceilings below 3000 feet are possible at KWMC, KBAM and KEKO. Gusty winds of at least 30 knots are expected at all sites, which are expected to also cause some blowing dust and potential lowered visibility, although confidence is not high enough to include below VFR visibilities in current TAFs. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Wind Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 10 AM PST Wednesday Humboldt...Northern Elko...Southern Lander and Southern Eureka. Wind Advisory until 10 AM PST Wednesday Northwestern Nye...Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range in Elko...South Central Elko... White Pine. && $$ 86/94/94