Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
670 FXUS65 KLKN 032231 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV Issued by National Weather Service Reno NV 231 PM PST Mon Nov 3 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 150 PM PST Mon Nov 3 2025 * High pressure will bring quiet and dry fall-like weather through Wednesday followed by cooler temperatures * A weak weather system is expected to impact Northern Nevada during the mid-week portion of the forecast, resulting in breezy to windy conditions and light precipitation && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Sunday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies are mostly sunny at this time though clouds are beginning to increase across extreme northwest Nevada. Conditions will continue to remain on the dry side this evening with low temperatures in the 30s. The upper ridge axis is expected to flatten early Tuesday with minor instability encroaching upon the northern sections of the forecast area. Showers are expected to be warm enough for rain across portions of northern Humboldt and Elko counties. Winds will be breezy with southwest speeds of 10 to 15 mph and gusts to 25 mph. Tuesday`s high temperatures will continue to run above normal with readings in the 60s. Look for mainly dry conditions over much of the area Tuesday night with lows in the 30s. By Wednesday, an upper level low pressure system will be pushing on shore across the western United States. Look for increasing chances for precipitation with most locales north of an including the I-80 corridor seeing light rain showers (fifteen to sixty percent chance) with the highest chances for seeing measurable rainfall in the north, along the border with Idaho. Forecast amounts for rainfall are expected to be a trace to a tenth of an inch in the valleys with northern Elko and northern Humboldt counties seeing the highest amounts with valley amounts seeing a trace to five- hundredths of an inch. Temperatures will cool slightly but will remain in the 60s. Wind speeds will develop during the late morning and afternoon with southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph are expected. Patchy blowing dust may develop over central and northwest Nevada during the afternoon and early evening hours with some minor restrictions to visibility. Light rain/snow showers will continue across the northernmost sections of Nevada with winds diminishing during the overnight period. Lows will remain in the 30s. The upper flow will shift to a west to east direction for Thursday. Cooler air will work its way into the area with high temperatures reaching the 50s. Mainly isolated showers are expected in the north with little to no accumulation. Winds will continue to be breezy in the afternoon in the north with gusts to 25 mph. The threat for light, isolated showers will continue across the north with lows in the 20s and 30s. Models are showing upper level ridging across the forecast area for Friday through the weekend. This will bring dry conditions and highs in the 60s with lows in the 20s and 30s. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence continues in a dry and fair weather forecast through the next few days. Increasing confidence of more active weather beginning in the mid-week. No changes were made to the NBM grids for this forecast package. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. Breezy winds will diminish during the evening hours today, but will be redeveloping late tomorrow morning and afternoon. Winds will be SW10-15G20-25KT is expected across the region. ISOLD/SCT -SHRA expected across northern Nevada but not expected to impact KWMC- KBAM-KEKO at this time. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...86 FIRE WEATHER...84