Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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670
FXUS65 KLKN 032231
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
Issued by National Weather Service Reno NV
231 PM PST Mon Nov 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 150 PM PST Mon Nov 3 2025

* High pressure will bring quiet and dry fall-like weather through
  Wednesday followed by cooler temperatures

* A weak weather system is expected to impact Northern Nevada during
  the mid-week portion of the forecast, resulting in breezy to windy
  conditions and light precipitation

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Sunday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies are mostly sunny at this time
though clouds are beginning to increase across extreme northwest
Nevada. Conditions will continue to remain on the dry side this
evening with low temperatures in the 30s. The upper ridge axis is
expected to flatten early Tuesday with minor instability
encroaching upon the northern sections of the forecast area.
Showers are expected to be warm enough for rain across portions of
northern Humboldt and Elko counties. Winds will be breezy with
southwest speeds of 10 to 15 mph and gusts to 25 mph. Tuesday`s
high temperatures will continue to run above normal with readings
in the 60s. Look for mainly dry conditions over much of the area
Tuesday night with lows in the 30s.

By Wednesday, an upper level low pressure system will be pushing
on shore across the western United States. Look for increasing chances
for precipitation with most locales north of an including the I-80
corridor seeing light rain showers (fifteen to sixty percent
chance) with the highest chances for seeing measurable rainfall in
the north, along the border with Idaho. Forecast amounts for
rainfall are expected to be a trace to a tenth of an inch in the
valleys with northern Elko and northern Humboldt counties seeing
the highest amounts with valley amounts seeing a trace to five-
hundredths of an inch. Temperatures will cool slightly but will
remain in the 60s. Wind speeds will develop during the late
morning and afternoon with southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with
gusts to 40 mph are expected. Patchy blowing dust may develop over
central and northwest Nevada during the afternoon and early
evening hours with some minor restrictions to visibility. Light
rain/snow showers will continue across the northernmost sections
of Nevada with winds diminishing during the overnight period. Lows
will remain in the 30s.

The upper flow will shift to a west to east direction for
Thursday. Cooler air will work its way into the area with high
temperatures reaching the 50s. Mainly isolated showers are
expected in the north with little to no accumulation. Winds will
continue to be breezy in the afternoon in the north with gusts to
25 mph. The threat for light, isolated showers will continue
across the north with lows in the 20s and 30s.

Models are showing upper level ridging across the forecast area
for Friday through the weekend. This will bring dry conditions and
highs in the 60s with lows in the 20s and 30s.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:  High confidence continues in a
dry and fair weather forecast through the next few days. Increasing
confidence of more active weather beginning in the mid-week. No
changes were made to the NBM grids for this forecast package.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions will continue through the next 24
hours. Breezy winds will diminish during the evening hours today,
but will be redeveloping late tomorrow morning and afternoon.
Winds will be SW10-15G20-25KT is expected across the region.
ISOLD/SCT -SHRA expected across northern Nevada but not expected
to impact KWMC- KBAM-KEKO at this time.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...84