Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
594 FXUS65 KLKN 010906 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 106 AM PST Mon Dec 1 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1243 AM PST Mon Dec 1 2025 * Patchy freezing fog this Monday morning * Coldest temperatures so far this season expected this morning * A storm system is expected Tuesday into Wednesday, with snowfall mainly confined to mountains of Elko County && .UPDATE... Issued at 1243 AM PST Mon Dec 1 2025 Current forecast is tracking well; no changes have been made to the current seven day forecast. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Sunday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Mostly clear early this morning with patchy freezing fog in some valley locations. Early morning temperatures today will be in the teens for many locations, with colder locales that could see single digits. An upper level ridge will be off the west coast of California this afternoon with a continued northerly flow. Afternoon high temperatures will be on the chilly side with readings in the 30s and 40s. Winds will be on the light side. Another weather system,this one currently over the Gulf of Alaska, will be diving southward across the Great Basin Monday night and Tuesday. Clouds will be on the increase after midnight with light snow showers developing by early Tuesday morning. This system is expected to affect the forecast area Tuesday and Wednesday. Snow amounts are mainly confined to the eastern half of the area, though model solutions are trying to depict a track that could position the system slightly to the west, which will affect a higher portion of the state. Highs on Tuesday will be in the 40s and 50s with breezy west to northwest winds gusts to 25 mph. The system will slowly progress southward across the eastern Great Basin Wednesday morning with lows in the teens and 20s. Look for a continuation of the light snow showers on Wednesday. Storm total snow accumulations are expected to be highest across northern Elko county with one to four inches, while other areas could see an inch or less. Highs Wednesday will be on the chilly side as the flow remains out of a northerly direction with readings in the 30s and 40s. Surface winds will be out of the north with gusts to 25 mph. Overnight lows will be in the teens. Model solutions continue to show the upper level ridging off the west coast of the United States with Pacific energy riding over the ridge. This pattern will bring light rain/snow showers to northern Nevada with temperatures moderating in the 40s from Thursday through Sunday. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence remains high on the system exiting and leaving much cooler temperatures through the week. Confidence remains moderate on the next system for Tuesday- Wednesday. && .AVIATION... Recent moisture in combination with clearing skies and cold temperatures early this morning are expected to aide in the development of freezing fog in some valleys across Northeastern Nevada. At this time fog is not in any of the TAF forecasts, however there is a 15-20% chance of fog at KEKO and KBAM this morning. The chance for fog at KWMC KENV KELY and KTPH is less than 5% this morning. Otherwise VFR conditions today. Snow showers return to portions of Northeastern Nevada on Tuesday. AMD NOT SKED continues for KTPH due to comms issues. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...96 AVIATION...96