Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
355 FXUS65 KLKN 212018 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1218 PM PST Fri Nov 21 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1208 PM PST Fri Nov 21 2025 * Warming trend begins today through Sunday * Low chance of isolated snow showers in Northern Nevada on Monday * Early indications showing for a cold and wet storm system for the Thanksgiving weekend && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Thursday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Quiet and warming weather this weekend, due to dominant zonal flow. A weak boundary passage late Sunday night could spark a few isolated light snow showers in northern Elko county Monday morning and the associated change to northwest flow is expected to drop high temperatures back to the low to mid 40s by Tuesday. Weak ridging builds back for Wednesday and Thursday, bringing temperatures in the 50s for the Thanksgiving holiday, but long range models are already showing signs of an atmospheric river event for the Thanksgiving weekend. Current projections show a mixed valley rain/mountain snow event that will need to be watched for travel impacts as it develops. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Low confidence in snow showers Monday due to how weak the forcing looks. Moderate confidence in a warm Thanksgiving and a storm system after, but low confidence in timing and impacts of said storm system. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions and light winds expected through the next 24 hours. Ceilings are expected to continue lifting as skies clear through the day. Low potential for VCFG overnight at KBAM. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...94 AVIATION...94