Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
816 FXUS65 KLKN 140743 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1243 AM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1243 AM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025 * Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in Southwestern Humboldt County today * Dry weather will persist through at least the next seven days * Temperatures will remain above seasonal values today through at least Friday * Near record heat in Ely Thursday afternoon && .DISCUSSION... (Today through next Friday) Issued at 1243 AM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025 WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An area of high pressure will be centered over the Desert Southwest this weekend. High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada both this afternoon and Sunday afternoon will be six to eight degrees above normal for this time of year. Here are probabilities of maximum temperatures of 90 degrees or higher for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Sunday, June 15th, 2025: West Wendover - 100% Tonopah - 96% Montello - 95% Winnemucca - 85% Eureka - 85% Lund - 85% Elko - 80% Ely - 80% Battle Mountain - 65% Carlin - 60% A trough axis centered along the west coast Monday morning will advance eastward through the day resulting in increased southwesterly winds across northern and central NV. Sustained wind speeds of 15 to 20 mph are expected in most locations with gusts of 25 to 35 mph through the afternoon and early evening hours. This will be a fire weather concern as minimum relative humidities Monday afternoon will be in the 5 to 10 percent range. There will also be a 5 to 10 percent chance of thunderstorms across eastern Elko and White Pine Counties Monday afternoon. Mid-level moisture is low on Monday, so should any storms develop they would like not produce any rainfall. The trough exits east into Utah Monday night, with a zonal flow aloft set up across Nevada Tuesday into Wednesday which will keep the region dry, and also trend temperatures up slightly. Wednesday night into Thursday the Great Basin region will be wedged between a deepening low off the Pacific NW coast and high pressure over the desert SW. The result of which will be increasing southwesterly flow over NV that will send afternoon temperatures up into the upper 80s to low 90s. Thursday is expected to be the warmest day of the week with highs in the low to mid 90s, which will be 10 to 15 degrees warmer than normal for most locations. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Forecast confidence is high regarding dry weather persisting and temperatures remain above seasonal values. No deviations from the NBM output. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) VFR conditions are expected at all terminals today and tonight. With the exception of KENV, southwesterly winds of 8-12 kts with gusts of 15-20 kts are expected at all terminals today between 20Z and 04Z. AMD NOT SKED at KTPH due to communications issue. && .FIRE WEATHER... Elevated fire weather conditions expected in Southwestern Humboldt County from 11 AM PDT this morning until 10 PM PDT this evening due to southwest wind gusts near 25 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 7 percent. Dry weather will persist for the foreseeable future. Temperatures will remain above seasonal values today through Friday. && .LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...87/85 AVIATION...96 FIRE WEATHER...87