Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
078 FXUS65 KLKN 210912 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 112 AM PST Fri Nov 21 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1246 AM PST Fri Nov 21 2025 * Patchy freezing fog may develop across portions of northern and central Nevada during the early morning hours each day through Sunday * Warming trend begins today through Sunday * Low chance of isolated snow showers in Northern Nevada on Monday && .UPDATE... Issued at 1246 AM PST Fri Nov 21 2025 Added patchy fog across portions of northern and central Nevada for the overnight. Latest satellite loop is depicting low clouds with possible fog across the valleys. In addition, temperature/dewpoint spreads are narrowing through the early morning hours. No other updates were made. && .AVIATION UPDATE...-SHRA will continue during the early morning at KTPH with MVFR/IFR CIGS. Look for VCSH at KTPH after 17Z. At all other terminals, FZFG is possible across KWMC-KBAM- KEKO and KELY locations though confidence of occurrence is not high enough; will include VCFG in the forecast. After 18Z, expect VFR conditions at all locations with winds less than 15KT. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Thursday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Showers are expected to taper off this evening as the low pressure center theyre associated with travels further south and away from the forecast area. Some patchy fog may also develop (about a 20% chance) mainly in valleys in Humboldt county for the next several nights. Otherwise, calm and warming conditions are expected to prevail through the end of the weekend as the atmosphere above Nevada enters a calmer period. This calm cant last forever though, and is currently expected to be broken on Monday when a trough digs in to the east and clips the forecast area, dropping high temperatures close to ten degrees and bringing a slight chance for some isolated snow showers in northern Nevada. Ridging is expected to build behind the trough starting Wednesday and temperatures return to the 50s by the end of the week. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Low confidence in coverage and impact of fog development. Low confidence in snow on Monday. Moderate confidence in ridging and warming for Wednesday and Thursday. && .AVIATION...IFR ceilings expected to persist at KTPH through 23Z before lifting to just above VFR thresholds. Ceilings at KWMC will likely drop to MVFR levels after sunset and should stay there through the overnight hours. VFR conditions expected at KEKO, KELY, KBAM and KENV through the next 24 hours. Winds less than 10KT expected at all sites. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...86