Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
176 FXUS65 KLKN 182001 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1201 PM PST Tue Nov 18 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1201 PM PST Tue Nov 18 2025 * Periods of precipitation south of Highway 50 this afternoon and tonight * Periods of precipitation south of Highway 50 Thursday night * Warming trend Friday through Monday && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through Monday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level area of low pressure will move southward just off the coast of California this afternoon. This cyclone aloft will turn eastward and make landfall over Southern California tonight, before entering the Desert Southwest Wednesday. Precipitation associated with this atmospheric disturbance should remain south of the Highway 50 corridor this afternoon and tonight. Another upper-level area of low pressure will approach the coast of the Pacific Northwest Wednesday night. This cyclone aloft will turn southward and progress in that direction just off the coast of California Thursday. This atmospheric disturbance will be at its closest location to the Silver State Thursday night. Once again, precipitation associated with this upper-level area of low pressure should remain south of the Highway 50 corridor Thursday night. An Eastern Pacific ridge of high pressure will build eastward across Northern Nevada Friday through Monday. This ridge of high pressure will keep the storm track north of the Silver State Friday through Monday. A warming trend is expected Friday through Monday. By Monday afternoon, high temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada will be seven to nine degrees above normal for this time of year. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding periods of precipitation south of Highway 50 this afternoon and tonight. Moderate forecast confidence in periods of precipitation south of Highway 50 Thursday night. Low forecast confidence regarding a warming trend Friday through Monday. No deviations from the NBM model output. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours. Showers are expected in the vicinity of KTPH this afternoon into Wednesday morning. Showers are anticipated in the vicinity of KELY this afternoon and tonight. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 87