Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
831 FXUS65 KLKN 250934 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV Issued by National Weather Service Boise ID 234 AM PDT Wed Jun 25 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 201 AM PDT Wed Jun 25 2025 * Warming trend will continue through this week. * Afternoon breezes the latter half of the week. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through next Wednesday) Issued at 201 AM PDT Wed Jun 25 2025 WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Current satellite imagery shows mostly clear skies across the forecast area. A trough of low pressure will slowly lift out of the region, resulting in a west to east zonal flow. Warm and dry conditions are expected today, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s and overnight lows in the 40s to 50s. Winds will increase this afternoon, mainly across northern portions of Humboldt and Elko Counties, with gusts up to 20 mph. A warming trend will persist through the remainder of the week under mostly dry, zonal flow. High temperatures will rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s, with overnight lows in the 40s and 50s. Afternoon winds will increase on Friday, with gusts up to 25 mph. The latest cluster analysis and probabilistic ensemble guidance remain in good agreement that high pressure will strengthen over the southwestern U.S. on Sunday and Monday, while a weak low develops off the coast of SoCAL. Upper level disturbances rounding the base of the low will move across Nevada. Combined with available moisture and weak instability, this will generate cumulus build-ups and a chance of isolated thunderstorms each afternoon heading into early next week. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in the warming trend continuing through the week. Low confidence for afternoon convection from Sunday through early next week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) VFR conditions are expected at all terminals over the next 24 hours. Scattered to broken clouds will be present today with CIGs from FL100 to FL200. Winds will generally be from the W-SW around 10 kts, with gusts up to 18 kts at KWMC. && .FIRE WEATHER... A persistent warming trend will continue through the week, with afternoon breezes of 20 to 25 mph and RH values falling below 15%. Fire weather conditions are not present today as wind speeds remain below criteria. && .LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...90 AVIATION...90 FIRE WEATHER...90