511
FXUS65 KLKN 170758
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1258 AM PDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1258 AM PDT Tue Jun 17 2025

* Near record heat in parts of Northern and Central Nevada both
  Wednesday afternoon and Thursday afternoon

* Major heat risk in the valleys of Southern Elko County Thursday

* Elevated to critical fire weather conditions in Northern and
  Central Nevada both Thursday and Friday

* Much cooler this weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1258 AM PDT Tue Jun 17 2025

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
An upper-level area of high pressure will be centered over the
Desert Southwest today through Wednesday night. High temperatures
throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be two
to four degrees above normal for this time of year. Maximum
temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada Wednesday
afternoon will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of
year. Near record heat is expected in Ely and Eureka Wednesday
afternoon. The current record for maximum temperature measured in
Ely on June 18th is 94 degrees, set in 1898. Temperature records
at Ely date back to 1893. The current record for maximum
temperature measured in Eureka on June 18th is 96 degrees, set in
2015. Temperature record in Eureka date back to 1963.

Above normal temperatures continue for Thursday with high
temperatures in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Temperatures return to
more seasonal levels on Friday as an upper level trough approaches
from the Washington coast. Daytime temperatures will be mainly in
the 80s and some isolated showers are possible north of I-80
beginning late in the evening. Much cooler on Saturday as a result
of that trough, with high temperatures barely reaching 70 across
much of the forecast area, although southern White Pine and
northeastern Nye counties are still expected to reach the low 90s.
Showers clear out by Saturday evening, leaving dry conditions
through the end of the forecast period. Current model guidance
shows the trough as a slow moving one and it will keep
temperatures below normal for several days. Sunday looks to be the
coolest day of the forecast, with temperatures across the forecast
area in the 60s and low 70s. Monday and Tuesday slowly return to
near average temperatures, with highs back in the 70s and low 80s
by Tuesday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
High forecast confidence regarding near record heat in portions of
Northern and Central Nevada both Wednesday afternoon and Thursday
afternoon. High forecast confidence in elevated to critical fire
weather conditions both Thursday and Friday. Increasing forecast
confidence regarding much cooler temperatures this weekend. No
deviations from the NBM output.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)

VFR conditions at all terminals today and tonight with mostly
sunny/clear skies along with winds below 10 knots.

KTPH remains AMD NOT SKED due to communications issues with the
ASOS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Near record heat expected in portions of Northern and Central
Nevada both Wednesday afternoon and Thursday afternoon. Elevated
to critical fire weather conditions anticipated in Northern and
Central Nevada both Thursday and Friday due to strong, gusty south
to southwest winds and low relative humidity values. Much cooler
conditions expected this weekend.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon Thursday to midnight PDT Thursday night
for NVZ033-038-039.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87/94
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...87