Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY
015
FNUS73 KLMK 261338
FWSLMK
Spot Forecast for Yellowbank WMA: T2-TU2...KDFWR
National Weather Service Louisville KY
938 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on October 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...High pressure remains in control across the region, and
will keep us dry through the entire work week. The forecast calls
for mostly sunny skies, however their will likely be some thin upper
level sky cover on Tuesday. Overall, most of the parameters look good
for burning with minimum afternoon RH values down into the upper
30 percent range, good mixing heights around 5 K feet, and mild
temperatures for this time of year peaking in the mid 70s. The limiting
factor for good dispersion will be weak surface and transport winds.
Any light direction will favor a SE to NW direction, and it does look
look like Chenault School Road could be affected if any smoke is not
able to get up and out.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning.
Temperature.........46 at ignition...Max 76.
RH..................100 percent at ignition...Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 1 mph at ignition...otherwise
Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
/25400 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 34.
TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........27 30 32 25 29 38 46 59 65 62 56 61
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............46 45 44 47 57 64 68 72 73 74 74 75
RH..............100 100 100 100 86 67 55 46 43 41 41 38
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N SE SE SE SE SE E E
20 FT wind spd..0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust. 1 1 1 2 2 4 4 4 4 2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.3 3.6 4.6 5.1 5.0 4.4
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.3 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5
LVORI...........10 9 9 9 6 3 2 2 1 1 2 2
ADI.............2 3 3 3 4 6 14 25 34 34 19 18
SDspl kt-ft/10001 1 1 1 2 4 9 18 23 25 20 18
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Temperature.........Min 48.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (200 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 15.
TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........65 67 84 75 71 66 68 71 73 75 78 80
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............73 69 64 59 56 55 54 53 52 51 51 51
RH..............44 53 63 78 86 86 86 89 89 93 89 89
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT wind gust.2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
LVORI...........2 2 3 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
ADI.............15 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
SDspl kt-ft/100013 6 1 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
sunny (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Max 75.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest 9 to
10 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (45600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 60 in the
afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........76 73 69 67 64 62 51 41 30 25 20 15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............49 48 49 53 59 64 68 71 72 74 75 74
RH..............93 93 89 83 72 63 53 46 41 37 36 37
20 FT wind dir..N SE SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.1 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.2 3.3 4.3 4.9 5.1 4.7
Transp wind dir.SE SE S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9
LVORI...........7 6 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............2 4 4 4 6 13 21 42 53 59 60 50
SDspl kt-ft/10001 1 2 2 5 9 19 30 39 44 46 37
$$
Forecaster...BJS
Requested by...Ryan Taylor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624548.0/LMK
.DELDT 10/26/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryant.taylor@ky.gov