Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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Spot Forecast for Jefferson County Parks Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Louisville KY
440 AM EST Thu Nov 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EST on November 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Today, light winds begin out of the east-northeast but
will veer towards the southeast later this morning. RH values drop to
near 30 percent with the dew point also in the low 30s. Tonight, winds
veer to the south and begin to increase into Friday morning ahead of
an approaching cold front. Winds will continue increase as they veer
to the southwest on Friday. Rain chances will begin increasing around
midday on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 61.
RH..................38 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 4 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 5 to 6
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18000 knot-ft) at ignition.
                    Max...poor (22500 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 to 32.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........4      7      10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............56     59     60
RH..............38     32     32
20 ft wind......SE 4   SE 4   SE 5
20 ft wind gust.5      6      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   2900   2800
Transport wind..SE 8   SE 7   S 9
LVORI...........2      2      1
ADI.............26     25     32
SDspl kt-ft/100018     18     23

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 to 15.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........9      11     18     24     37     58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............53     48     46     46     47     48
RH..............43     51     53     53     53     63
20 ft wind......SE 4   SE 4   SE 5   SE 5   S 6    S 8
20 ft wind gust.7      8      9      10     11     13
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SE 8   SE 10  SE 13  S 14   S 15   S 16
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      2      2
ADI.............4      5      6      6      10     14
SDspl kt-ft/10003      4      4      5      6      6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely during the late morning. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    in the morning and early afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 25 mph shifting to the west
                    around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (38700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................19 to 45.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........69     92     93     93     86     73
Weather cov.....       CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Temp............50     54     59     60     62     63
RH..............77     86     87     90     87     84
20 ft wind......S 9    S 10   SW 10  SW 9   SW 8   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.17     17     15     15     14     12
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    1800   1500   1300   1900
Transport wind..SW 17  SW 20  SW 25  SW 23  SW 20  W 16
LVORI...........3      4      4      4      4      4
ADI.............19     21     45     37     30     30
SDspl kt-ft/10007      12     39     29     22     26

$$
Forecaster...KDW
Requested by...Jesse Moore
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525222.0/LMK
.DELDT 11/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jesse_moore@tnc.org