Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FNUS73 KLMK 162048
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Kiln...USFS
National Weather Service Louisville KY
448 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

Forecast is based on October 16 data. If conditions become
unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure centered over the Great Lakes today will bring
east-northeast winds across the area, keeping temperatures a few degrees
cooler than previous days. A combination of modest transport winds and
relatively shallow mixing depths will limit dispersion parameters on
Friday. Afternoon relative humidity values will also be somewhat
elevated, falling into the 40s in many locations. A stronger storm
system will move across the region Saturday evening into Sunday
morning, bringing gusty winds along with showers and thunderstorms.
A few thunderstorms Saturday evening could be strong. Total
rainfall amounts are expected to range from 0.75" to 1.75" in
most locations. Will send an updated forecast by 0730 tomorrow.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 24.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........1      5      2      9      39     39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............70     61     55     52     51     49
RH..............57     75     83     86     83     83
20 ft wind......E 3    E 2    E 2    E 2    E 2    E 2
20 ft wind gust.7      6      6      6      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 9    E 8    E 9    E 10   E 9    E 9
LVORI...........2      4      5      5      5      5
ADI.............24     4      4      5      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100017     3      3      4      4      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Temperature.........Max 73.
RH..................Min 44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 23.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........29     39     34     43     79     79
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............48     47     56     65     70     71
RH..............83     79     69     52     44     46
20 ft wind......E 2    E 2    SE 2   SE 3   SE 3   SE 2
20 ft wind gust.6      6      6      7      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    700    1300   2200   2200
Transport wind..SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 8   SE 8
LVORI...........5      4      3      2      2      2
ADI.............4      10     10     16     21     23
SDspl kt-ft/10003      3      6      11     15     15

$$
Forecaster...WFO LMK
Requested by...Logan Scherschel
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523735.0/LMK
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL logan.scherschel@usda.gov