388
FNUS73 KLMK 301535
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Thompson Learn & Burn...KDFWR
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1135 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 CST on November 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High confidence in a dry forecast for Tuesday as surface
high pressure will be in control of the area. High temperatures look to
reach the low 60s under sunny skies, pretty normal for this time of year.
Minimum RH values will drop into the 35 to 40 percent range, and mixing
heights will likely become favorable in the afternoon, however overall
dispersion will suffer due to fairly light surface and boundary layer
winds given the surface high pressure center near our area. The good
news is there may be several days next week favorable for burning if
Tuesday does not work out. Will also point out that this forecast is
outside the range of some of our normal fire weather parameters, but
we will be able to fill in the blanks once we get a little closer
to this day.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Max 63. 61 at ignition.
RH..................Min 39 percent. 43 percent at ignition.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light through ignition.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL in the afternoon, 2500 ft AGL at
                    ignition.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph through ignition.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor through ignition. 9000-17000 kt-ft/1000m
LVORI...............MISSING.
ADI.................MISSING.

TIME (CST)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   5   4   4   5   7   8   8   7   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  36  37  41  47  52  56  59  60  62  63  62
RH..............100 100 100 89  76  66  57  49  46  41  39  41
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.4   4   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...M   M   0.1 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.3
Transp wind dir.M   M   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
Transp wind spd.M   M   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
LVORI...........M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
SDspl kt-ft/1000M   M   0   4   8   11  15  17  17  15  13  9

$$
Forecaster...BJS
Requested by...Riley Dollenbacher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523948.1/LMK
.DELDT 10/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL riley.dollenbacher@ky.gov