Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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Spot Forecast for Painter Creek Boat Ramp Rx Fire...Indiana Dept. of Natural Resources
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1145 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on October 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Winds are very light to calm now and will only slightly
increase during the peak heating hours during the early-mid afternoon.
Transport winds reach 4-6 kts generally from the SSW, although
winds at the surface will be lighter and more variable during the
day. RH values remain somewhat elevated in the 60-70% range now but
since skies have already cleared, this will encourage drier air to mix
down dropping min RH values to the mid 30s during the middle of the
afternoon. Mixing heights should increase with the clear skies above
4,000 ft, peaking to perhaps just above 4,500 ft before the evening
settles in. Any smoke would drift generally towards the NNE
paralleling state highway 145 and towards S Liberty Church Road.

As for this evening and tonight, RH values will quickly recover
reaching the 50-60% range by 8 PM EDT and maxing into the 80-90%
range overnight with continued light to calm winds and clear skies.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........66 at ignition...Max 77.
RH..................58 percent at ignition...Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /7200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /21900 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................11 to 30.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........2      2      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............66     75     76
RH..............58     43     39
20 ft wind......S 2    S 2    S 2
20 ft wind gust.       5      4
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   4000   4300
Transport wind..S 5    SW 6   S 6
LVORI...........2      2      2
ADI.............11     28     29
SDspl kt-ft/10007      20     22

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 16.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........2      3      2      0      2      3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............75     66     57     55     52     51
RH..............43     62     77     83     83     83
20 ft wind......N 0    N 0    N 0    SE 1   S 1    S 2
20 ft wind gust.2      1      2      4      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2800   400    200    400    400    400
Transport wind..S 5    S 3    S 6    S 8    S 9    S 10
LVORI...........2      3      5      5      6      5
ADI.............16     2      3      4      4      5
SDspl kt-ft/100011     1      1      3      3      4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........Max 78.
RH..................Min 44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to marginal (37600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 52 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      1      1      1      1      3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............50     49     57     68     75     77
RH..............86     86     72     52     43     40
20 ft wind......S 2    S 2    S 2    SW 3   SW 3   SW 3
20 ft wind gust.6      6      6      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    700    1900   3300   3900
Transport wind..S 10   SW 10  SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 10
LVORI...........5      4      4      2      1      1
ADI.............5      11     12     28     47     48
SDspl kt-ft/10003      3      7      19     33     35

$$
Forecaster...BKF
Requested by...Brian Finch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624659.1/LMK
.DELDT 10/28/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Nrenneker@dnr.IN.gov,Bbzdyl@dnr.IN.gov,Bfinch@dnr.IN.gov