Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY
408
FNUS73 KLMK 041622
FWSLMK
Spot Forecast for Rush Island Bottoms_Upland Unit...OKNP
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1122 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 EST on November 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move across the Ohio Valley Thursday morning, bringing
light winds and sunny skies with temperatures warming into the mid 60s
Thursday afternoon. Model temperature and moisture profiles show ample
dry air aloft, so there is a chance that drier air will mix down to the
ground, resulting in humidity values being lower than currently forecasted.
By Thursday afternoon, high pressure will shift off to the east, resulting
in light east-southeasterly winds beginning across the area. Smoke
dispersion parameters remain in the upper end of the poor range on Thursday,
as the combination of light winds aloft and fairly shallow mixing heights
limit ADI values.
Thursday night into Friday, a cold front will approach and then move through
the region, bringing a line of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms with
it. Winds will be gusty out of the south and southwest on Friday, with gusts
of 25 to 35 mph expected. Temperatures should warm into the upper 60s on
Friday.
NOTE: Fire weather parameters for Friday will be available by tomorrow
morning.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Max 65.
RH..................Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
late morning and afternoon, then becoming light
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to Fair (25600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 to 37.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40 40 43 47 52 56 60 62 64 65 64 62
RH..............92 92 86 76 63 53 46 41 38 35 38 41
20 FT wind dir..NE NE E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3
20 FT wind gust.5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.2 1.7
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.12 12 13 14 15 14 12 10 10 10 10 10
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
ADI.............12 12 15 24 34 37 35 33 34 33 29 23
SDspl kt-ft/10005 6 10 16 23 25 25 23 23 22 20 15
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Min 48.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph
overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 12 mph shifting to the south 13
to 16 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 to 14.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5 6 10 15 19 24 29 34 35 36 37 43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............58 55 53 51 50 49 49 50 50 51 52 52
RH..............49 57 61 68 74 80 83 83 86 86 86 86
20 FT wind dir..E E SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6
20 FT wind gust.6 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 9 10 11 12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
Transp wind dir.E E SE SE SE S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 14 15 16
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 4
ADI.............5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 14
SDspl kt-ft/100010 5 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 10
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers
likely in the morning. Rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 69.
RH..................Min 73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 8 mph early in the morning.
Gusts up to 23 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL early in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12900 knot-ft) early in the morning.
LVORI...............4 early in the morning.
ADI.................15 to 26 early in the morning.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49 55 61 68 74 77 81 84 76 67 59 58
Weather cov..... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............53 54 56 59 62 64 65 67 68 68 68 67
RH..............83 83 83 80 78 78 78 75 73 73 73 75
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 7
20 FT wind gust.13 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 M M M M M M M M M M
Transp wind dir.SW SW M M M M M M M M M M
Transp wind spd.18 21 M M M M M M M M M M
LVORI...........4 4 M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............15 26 M M M M M M M M M M
SDspl kt-ft/100013 17 M M M M M M M M M M
$$
Forecaster...CSG
Requested by...Zach Beyer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525075.0/LMK
.DELDT 11/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zachary.beyer@ky.gov