907
FNUS73 KLMK 171001
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Stoler Creek Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Louisville KY
501 AM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure over the region will result in very
light winds today. It will be quite chilly this morning, with lows
around freezing. Temperatures will warm into the 50s this
afternoon. A cold, very dry airmass remains in place so afternoon
RH values will likely be around 25 percent. A low pressure system
approaching from the west will bring widespread showers and a
chance of thunderstorms to the region on Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 56.
RH..................47 percent at ignition...Min 24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 1 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon, then shifting to the south
                    around 2 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /4000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /11000 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................2 to 16.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      3      2      17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............44     50     54     56
RH..............47     31     27     25
20 ft wind......NE 1   S 1    S 1    S 2
20 ft wind gust.2      2      2      4
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   2000   2700   2600
Transport wind..NE 5   W 3    W 5    SW 3
LVORI...........2      2      2      2
ADI.............6      9      16     11
SDspl kt-ft/10004      6      11     8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers overnight. Rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Temperature.........Min 40.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph increasing to around 13
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 8.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........30     39     43     76     84     95
Weather cov.....                            SCTTRD DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   ISOLTD
Temp............51     44     42     42     43     42
RH..............33     49     53     55     57     65
20 ft wind......SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 3   SE 3
20 ft wind gust.4      4      5      6      8      9
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..SE 3   SE 5   SE 8   SE 9   SE 10  SE 13
LVORI...........2      2      2      3      3      3
ADI.............2      2      4      4      7      8
SDspl kt-ft/10001      1      2      2      3      4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south early in the afternoon, then becoming
                    light late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 7 to 15 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................5 to 19.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........95     93     92     89     85     84
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Temp............43     44     48     52     56     57
RH..............73     82     89     86     86     90
20 ft wind......SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   S 4    S 4    S 3
20 ft wind gust.9      10     11     11     9      8
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    700    900    700    500
Transport wind..SE 14  SE 15  S 15   S 15   S 10   SW 8
LVORI...........3      4      4      4      5      5
ADI.............11     11     16     19     11     9
SDspl kt-ft/10004      6      10     12     7      4

$$
Forecaster...EBW
Requested by...Jesse Moore
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526069.0/LMK
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jesse_moore@tnc.org