Great Lakes Forecast
Issued by NWS

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706
FZUS61 KBUF 281403
GLFLO

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Ontario
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1003 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Ontario

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
A broad surface low and cold front draped from southern Ontario to
eastern Ohio will slowly pivot eastward to the upper Saint Lawrence
Valley and central New York by this evening. The surface low will
then redevelop and lift northeastward off the mid-Atlantic and New
England coastlines tonight through Wednesday night...while a slowly
weakening inverted trough lingers across eastern New York and
western New England. A weak 30.0 inch high will then build eastward
across the lower Great Lakes Thursday and Friday...before sliding
out across New England Saturday.

LOZ062-282100-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
1003 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

.REST OF TODAY...Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming
northwest. A chance of showers late this morning, then a chance
of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.TONIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then showers
likely after midnight. A chance of showers late. Waves 2 to
4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...North winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely. Waves
3 to 6 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...North winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely in
the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 to
4 feet.
.THURSDAY...North winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet
subsiding to 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southeast winds less than 10 knots. A chance of
showers Saturday night. Waves 1 foot or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ063>065-282100-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence
River-
1003 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

.REST OF TODAY...Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet
building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.TONIGHT...North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms early,
then showers likely from late evening on. Waves 2 to 4 feet
building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...North winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers in the morning,
then showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally
around 9 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...North winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely
with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then showers
likely overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
.THURSDAY...North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to
15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY...North winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Waves
1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. A
chance of showers Saturday night. Waves 1 foot or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ061-282100-
MAFOR 2815/
ONTARIO WEST 1/2 11100 11800 11710 11720 12820 12826. A chance of
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Waves 2 to 4 feet this
afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet tonight.
Waves 4 to 6 feet Wednesday morning.

ONTARIO EAST 1/2 11316 11100 11800 12816 13826. A chance of
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet
building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet this
afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 4 to 7 feet, and
occasionally around 9 feet tonight. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding
to 3 to 6 feet, and occasionally around 9 feet Wednesday morning.

$$