Great Lakes Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
745 FZUS61 KBUF 161402 GLFLO Open Lake Forecast for Lake Ontario National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1002 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Ontario Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will continue to exit eastward today before a warm front drifts northeastward across Lake Ontario this evening and is followed by a cold frontal passage tonight. Behind the cold front, a trough averaging 29.8 inches should linger over Lake Ontario through Monday. A 30.0 inch high will build from the Upper Midwest Monday night and traverse Lake Ontario Tuesday. The ridge will begin to exit east Tuesday night before a cold front sweeps southeastward across the lake Wednesday through Wednesday night. A 30.1 inch high will build across the Great Lakes Thursday. LOZ062-162100- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 1002 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026 .THIS AFTERNOON...East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. .TONIGHT...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. .MONDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Waves 2 feet or less. .MONDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less. .TUESDAY...West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less. .WEDNESDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 2 feet. .THURSDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. $$ LOZ063>065-162100- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River- 1002 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026 .THIS AFTERNOON...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 feet or less. .TONIGHT...Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms through the early overnight, then a chance of showers late. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .MONDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less. .MONDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Waves 2 feet or less. .TUESDAY...Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less. .WEDNESDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 2 feet. .THURSDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. $$ LOZ061-162100- MAFOR 1615/ ONTARIO WEST 1/2 13210 11310 11610 11600 12700. A chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening. Waves 2 feet or less. ONTARIO EAST 1/2 11200 11110 11320 12420 11510 12600. A chance of showers and thunderstorms tonight. Waves 2 feet or less this afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet tonight and Monday morning. $$