Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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669
FXUS66 KLOX 012025
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
125 PM PDT Mon Jun 1 2026

.SYNOPSIS...31/1153 PM.

Warm and dry conditions can be expected through most of this
week. There will be some coastal low clouds and fog at times, but
otherwise skies will remain mostly clear. There will be gusty
onshore winds through most of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-THU)...01/124 PM.

June arrives with its standard unexciting weather. At the upper
levels there will be weak saggy broad troffing. Hgts will be near
586 dam which is very close to normal. Onshore flow will prevail
through the period strongest to the east and in the afternoons.

Low clouds will begin to arrive earlier and penetrate deeper into
the vlys starting tonight as the onshore flow increases and an
eddy spins up. Tuesday night and Wednesday will have a similar
cloud pattern. With the afternoon onshore push near 8 mb in the
afternoon it is likely that some beaches will not clear.

The strong W to E pressure gradient will drive stronger than
normal sea breezes as well as gusty winds in the Antelope Vly.
There will be a little north push in the mtns Tuesday night but
any winds will be under advisory criteria. Winds will likely be a
little stronger into Wednesday afternoon to evening with a 30-50
percent chance of advisory level winds for Southwest Santa Barbara
County and interior mountains near the I-5 corridor.

Max temps will fall across the csts and vlys today and Tuesday as
the onshore flow increases. Today`s max temps will remain above
normal, but Tuesday`s cooling will bring most csts/vly max temps
to a few degrees blo normal. Mdls showing some warming on
Wednesday due to the north flow, but this may well not work out
depending on how strong the eddy and marine layer is.

A weak ridge will nose in from the west Thu with a few degrees of
warming possible for the interior. If an eddy spins up from the
northwest flow from the night before coastal to coastal valleys
will likely see little change or even slight cooling into
Thursday.

.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...01/124 PM.

Hgts will fall over the weekend as a trof originating from a
decent sized upper low that will move into the PACNW. There will
be mdt to strong onshore flow each day, peaking Friday.

Night through morning low clouds and fog will continue for all 4
days. Some beaches may not clear until later in the afternoon on
Thu, Sat and Sun. Friday looks to be a day of June Gloom due to
the strong onshore flow both to the N and E. It is likely that
much of the nearshore area will stay cloudy and cool.

The lowering hgts and strong onshore flow will lead to 3 days of
cooling Fri-Sun. Weekend temps will mostly be in the 70s across
the csts/vlys with upper 60s at the beaches and lower 80s in the
warmest vly locations. These max temps are mostly 2 to 4 degrees
blo normal.

&&

.AVIATION...01/1824Z.

At 18Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 2100 feet deep. The
inversion top was near 2700 feet with a temperature of 18 C.

High confidence in KPMD, KWJF, and KPRB.

Moderate confidence in other TAFs with flight category changes
generally within 2 hours of forecast. There is a 10-20 percent
chance that VFR conds prevail for KBUR and KVNY.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF with flight category changes
likely within 2 hours of forecast. Any east wind component will
remain below 6 kts.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF with a 10 percent chance that
VFR conds prevail.

&&

.MARINE...01/1234 PM.

For the Outer Waters from the Central Coast to San Nicolas
Island, moderate to high confidence in current forecast.
Other than some localized Small Craft Advisory (SCA) winds,
generally expecting conditions to stay below hazardous levels.
Low chance of SCA issuance (20%) for PZZ670/673.

After a relative lull, SCA winds are likely to return Tuesday
afternoon through Thursday, with a 60-80% chance of Gale force
winds over portions of the outer waters peaking late Wednesday
through at least early Thursday. SCA seas of 10+ feet may linger
into the weekend.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. After a relative lull, winds will
increase to SCA levels Wednesday night through Thursday night,
with a 30-50% chance of Gales Wednesday night and Thursday.
Otherwise, SCA winds are likely to persist through Thursday night.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. There is a 50-70 percent chance
of SCA winds Wednesday late afternoon to night and again during
the same time frame Thursday across the western portion of the
Santa Barbara Channel.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Munroe/Rorke
AVIATION...RM
MARINE...RM/CC/DB
SYNOPSIS...RAT/Sirard

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox