Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 162246
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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
346 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

ECC029-171700-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

Below normal temperatures continue through Thursday before a warming
trend, bringing back seasonal highs, begins  Friday into the
weekend. High pressure will build across the West  Coast this
weekend with the marine layer compressing to around  1000-1200 ft
this weekend. Good overnight recoveries and fair  daytime humidity
retention continues for locations within the  marine layer.
Localized elevated fire weather concerns continue  for the higher
elevations above the marine layer where poor to  fair overnight
recoveries and poor daytime humidity retention  continues. Further
drying is expected across the higher  elevations Saturday into next
week with daytime humidity values dropping to between 15% to 25%.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOME INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS TODAY...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED
OVER  THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

Elevated fire weather (breezy winds and low humidity) conditions
will  continue across some interior valleys, mountains, and deserts
through  this evening. There is an increased risk of large grass
fires with rapid fire spread, especially for the Antelope Valley and
Highway 14  Corridor.

A deep marine layer through at least Thursday will maintain below
normal risk for large fire for coasts, coastal valleys, extending
into  some interior valleys (mainly San Luis Obispo County). The
marine layer will likely shrink especially north of Point Conception
through the weekend, leading to warming and drying trends focused
across interior  valleys of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara
Counties.

There is a 15-25 percent chance of monsoonal showers and
thunderstorms  peaking Thursday through Friday including the
overnight hours focused across the Los Angeles County, but
potentially spreading west into at  least Ventura County at times as
well. The greatest threat is over the mountains, but there is a
5-15 percent chance of occuring in the coastal valleys to coast
especially in the early morning hours Friday. The threat of
thunderstorms may linger in the weekend, especially across eastern
Los Angeles County. New fire starts from dry lighting, damaging
winds, and localized flooding are possible with any monsoon
thunderstorms.

There is a 20 percent chance that the monsoon disrupts the marine
layer, especially for LA County, leading to the significant warming
trends near the coast.


$$

ECC028-171700-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOME INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS TODAY...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED
OVER  THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

Elevated fire weather (breezy winds and low humidity) conditions
will  continue across some interior valleys, mountains, and deserts
through  this evening. There is an increased risk of large grass
fires with rapid fire spread, especially for the Antelope Valley and
Highway 14  Corridor.

A deep marine layer through at least Thursday will maintain below
normal risk for large fire for coasts, coastal valleys, extending
into  some interior valleys (mainly San Luis Obispo County). The
marine layer will likely shrink especially north of Point Conception
through the weekend, leading to warming and drying trends focused
across interior  valleys of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara
Counties.

There is a 15-25 percent chance of monsoonal showers and
thunderstorms  peaking Thursday through Friday including the
overnight hours focused across the Los Angeles County, but
potentially spreading west into at  least Ventura County at times as
well. The greatest threat is over the mountains, but there is a
5-15 percent chance of occuring in the coastal valleys to coast
especially in the early morning hours Friday. The threat of
thunderstorms may linger in the weekend, especially across eastern
Los Angeles County. New fire starts from dry lighting, damaging
winds, and localized flooding are possible with any monsoon
thunderstorms.

There is a 20 percent chance that the monsoon disrupts the marine
layer, especially for LA County, leading to the significant warming
trends near the coast.


$$

ECC031-171700-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOME INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS TODAY...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED
OVER  THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

Elevated fire weather (breezy winds and low humidity) conditions
will  continue across some interior valleys, mountains, and deserts
through  this evening. There is an increased risk of large grass
fires with rapid fire spread, especially for the Antelope Valley and
Highway 14  Corridor.

A deep marine layer through at least Thursday will maintain below
normal risk for large fire for coasts, coastal valleys, extending
into  some interior valleys (mainly San Luis Obispo County). The
marine layer will likely shrink especially north of Point Conception
through the weekend, leading to warming and drying trends focused
across interior  valleys of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara
Counties.

There is a 15-25 percent chance of monsoonal showers and
thunderstorms  peaking Thursday through Friday including the
overnight hours focused across the Los Angeles County, but
potentially spreading west into at  least Ventura County at times as
well. The greatest threat is over the mountains, but there is a
5-15 percent chance of occuring in the coastal valleys to coast
especially in the early morning hours Friday. The threat of
thunderstorms may linger in the weekend, especially across eastern
Los Angeles County. New fire starts from dry lighting, damaging
winds, and localized flooding are possible with any monsoon
thunderstorms.

There is a 20 percent chance that the monsoon disrupts the marine
layer, especially for LA County, leading to the significant warming
trends near the coast.


$$

ECC024-171700-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOME INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS TODAY...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED
OVER  THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

Elevated fire weather (breezy winds and low humidity) conditions
will  continue across some interior valleys, mountains, and deserts
through  this evening. There is an increased risk of large grass
fires with rapid fire spread, especially for the Antelope Valley and
Highway 14  Corridor.

A deep marine layer through at least Thursday will maintain below
normal risk for large fire for coasts, coastal valleys, extending
into  some interior valleys (mainly San Luis Obispo County). The
marine layer will likely shrink especially north of Point Conception
through the weekend, leading to warming and drying trends focused
across interior  valleys of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara
Counties.

There is a 15-25 percent chance of monsoonal showers and
thunderstorms  peaking Thursday through Friday including the
overnight hours focused across the Los Angeles County, but
potentially spreading west into at  least Ventura County at times as
well. The greatest threat is over the mountains, but there is a
5-15 percent chance of occuring in the coastal valleys to coast
especially in the early morning hours Friday. The threat of
thunderstorms may linger in the weekend, especially across eastern
Los Angeles County. New fire starts from dry lighting, damaging
winds, and localized flooding are possible with any monsoon
thunderstorms.

There is a 20 percent chance that the monsoon disrupts the marine
layer, especially for LA County, leading to the significant warming
trends near the coast.


$$

ECC032-171700-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOME INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS TODAY...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED
OVER  THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

Elevated fire weather (breezy winds and low humidity) conditions
will  continue across some interior valleys, mountains, and deserts
through  this evening. There is an increased risk of large grass
fires with rapid fire spread, especially for the Antelope Valley and
Highway 14  Corridor.

A deep marine layer through at least Thursday will maintain below
normal risk for large fire for coasts, coastal valleys, extending
into  some interior valleys (mainly San Luis Obispo County). The
marine layer will likely shrink especially north of Point Conception
through the weekend, leading to warming and drying trends focused
across interior  valleys of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara
Counties.

There is a 15-25 percent chance of monsoonal showers and
thunderstorms  peaking Thursday through Friday including the
overnight hours focused across the Los Angeles County, but
potentially spreading west into at  least Ventura County at times as
well. The greatest threat is over the mountains, but there is a
5-15 percent chance of occuring in the coastal valleys to coast
especially in the early morning hours Friday. The threat of
thunderstorms may linger in the weekend, especially across eastern
Los Angeles County. New fire starts from dry lighting, damaging
winds, and localized flooding are possible with any monsoon
thunderstorms.

There is a 20 percent chance that the monsoon disrupts the marine
layer, especially for LA County, leading to the significant warming
trends near the coast.


$$

ECC030-171700-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOME INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS TODAY...

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED
OVER  THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

Elevated fire weather (breezy winds and low humidity) conditions
will  continue across some interior valleys, mountains, and deserts
through  this evening. There is an increased risk of large grass
fires with rapid fire spread, especially for the Antelope Valley and
Highway 14  Corridor.

A deep marine layer through at least Thursday will maintain below
normal risk for large fire for coasts, coastal valleys, extending
into  some interior valleys (mainly San Luis Obispo County). The
marine layer will likely shrink especially north of Point Conception
through the weekend, leading to warming and drying trends focused
across interior  valleys of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara
Counties.

There is a 15-25 percent chance of monsoonal showers and
thunderstorms  peaking Thursday through Friday including the
overnight hours focused across the Los Angeles County, but
potentially spreading west into at  least Ventura County at times as
well. The greatest threat is over the mountains, but there is a
5-15 percent chance of occuring in the coastal valleys to coast
especially in the early morning hours Friday. The threat of
thunderstorms may linger in the weekend, especially across eastern
Los Angeles County. New fire starts from dry lighting, damaging
winds, and localized flooding are possible with any monsoon
thunderstorms.

There is a 20 percent chance that the monsoon disrupts the marine
layer, especially for LA County, leading to the significant warming
trends near the coast.


$$