Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
413 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 2025

ECC029-031715-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
413 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

There remains a slight (15%) chance for isolated dry thunderstorms
across far interior portions of the district through sunset. This
poses the risk for lightning and gusty and erratic  winds with very
little rain, if any, to accompany it. Good to  excellent relative
humidity recovery is expected tonight for all  but the highest
terrain of the Central Coast. The cooling and  moistening trend will
continue through the week with the help of a deepening marine layer
that will bring much needed relief.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY, MAINLY
FOCUSED ACROSS THE LA/VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE SAN GABRIEL
MOUNTAINS, ANTELOPE VALLEY, AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS INCLUDING  BRIDGE
FIRE BURN SCAR FOR POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS...

This afternoon through Thursday, monsoonal shower and thunderstorm
activity is possible across the mountains and deserts (especially
LA/Ventura counties), with a smaller chance for coasts and valleys.
The  main risks during this time frame will be the potential for
brief heavy  rainfall and flooding threats in the mountains and
deserts, along with a continued threat of strong downburst/outflow
winds and lightning. The  highest threat for flash flooding and
debris flows will be in the San  Gabriel mountains and Antelope
Valley where a flood watch is in effect.  The potential for
strongest outflow winds, locally damaging up to 60 mph will be this
afternoon and evening for the mountains and deserts of LA  and
Ventura Counties.

Offshore winds are likely late tonight through Wednesday morning at
8  to 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 30 mph. Theses winds will be
stronger for  the San Gabriel Mountains, Santa Susana Mountains, and
the interior San  Luis Obispo County Hills near the Gifford Fire.

Hot temperatures will persist into Wednesday, with warmer
temperatures  potentially occurring near the coast due to weakening
onshore flow. The  Heat Advisory has been extended through Wednesday
for the coasts and  valleys of LA and Ventura Counties with all
other areas expiring Tuesday evening. Expect high temperatures of
80 to 90 at the beaches, 90 to 100 across the inland coasts, and
98 to 104 across the valleys, foothills,  and deserts. Hot
temperatures combined with increased instability has  yielded deep
mixing heights which are peaking between 11,000 and 16,000  feet
this afternoon. As a result, there is an elevated risk for large
plume dominated fires across the interior. Humidities between 18 and
30  percent for the warmest valleys, lower mountains, and deserts
today and  tomorrow due to an influx of monsoonal moistures.


$$

ECC028-031715-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
413 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY, MAINLY
FOCUSED ACROSS THE LA/VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE SAN GABRIEL
MOUNTAINS, ANTELOPE VALLEY, AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS INCLUDING  BRIDGE
FIRE BURN SCAR FOR POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS...

This afternoon through Thursday, monsoonal shower and thunderstorm
activity is possible across the mountains and deserts (especially
LA/Ventura counties), with a smaller chance for coasts and valleys.
The  main risks during this time frame will be the potential for
brief heavy  rainfall and flooding threats in the mountains and
deserts, along with a continued threat of strong downburst/outflow
winds and lightning. The  highest threat for flash flooding and
debris flows will be in the San  Gabriel mountains and Antelope
Valley where a flood watch is in effect.  The potential for
strongest outflow winds, locally damaging up to 60 mph will be this
afternoon and evening for the mountains and deserts of LA  and
Ventura Counties.

Offshore winds are likely late tonight through Wednesday morning at
8  to 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 30 mph. Theses winds will be
stronger for  the San Gabriel Mountains, Santa Susana Mountains, and
the interior San  Luis Obispo County Hills near the Gifford Fire.

Hot temperatures will persist into Wednesday, with warmer
temperatures  potentially occurring near the coast due to weakening
onshore flow. The  Heat Advisory has been extended through Wednesday
for the coasts and  valleys of LA and Ventura Counties with all
other areas expiring Tuesday evening. Expect high temperatures of
80 to 90 at the beaches, 90 to 100 across the inland coasts, and
98 to 104 across the valleys, foothills,  and deserts. Hot
temperatures combined with increased instability has  yielded deep
mixing heights which are peaking between 11,000 and 16,000  feet
this afternoon. As a result, there is an elevated risk for large
plume dominated fires across the interior. Humidities between 18 and
30  percent for the warmest valleys, lower mountains, and deserts
today and  tomorrow due to an influx of monsoonal moistures.


$$

ECC031-031715-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
413 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY, MAINLY
FOCUSED ACROSS THE LA/VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE SAN GABRIEL
MOUNTAINS, ANTELOPE VALLEY, AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS INCLUDING  BRIDGE
FIRE BURN SCAR FOR POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS...

This afternoon through Thursday, monsoonal shower and thunderstorm
activity is possible across the mountains and deserts (especially
LA/Ventura counties), with a smaller chance for coasts and valleys.
The  main risks during this time frame will be the potential for
brief heavy  rainfall and flooding threats in the mountains and
deserts, along with a continued threat of strong downburst/outflow
winds and lightning. The  highest threat for flash flooding and
debris flows will be in the San  Gabriel mountains and Antelope
Valley where a flood watch is in effect.  The potential for
strongest outflow winds, locally damaging up to 60 mph will be this
afternoon and evening for the mountains and deserts of LA  and
Ventura Counties.

Offshore winds are likely late tonight through Wednesday morning at
8  to 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 30 mph. Theses winds will be
stronger for  the San Gabriel Mountains, Santa Susana Mountains, and
the interior San  Luis Obispo County Hills near the Gifford Fire.

Hot temperatures will persist into Wednesday, with warmer
temperatures  potentially occurring near the coast due to weakening
onshore flow. The  Heat Advisory has been extended through Wednesday
for the coasts and  valleys of LA and Ventura Counties with all
other areas expiring Tuesday evening. Expect high temperatures of
80 to 90 at the beaches, 90 to 100 across the inland coasts, and
98 to 104 across the valleys, foothills,  and deserts. Hot
temperatures combined with increased instability has  yielded deep
mixing heights which are peaking between 11,000 and 16,000  feet
this afternoon. As a result, there is an elevated risk for large
plume dominated fires across the interior. Humidities between 18 and
30  percent for the warmest valleys, lower mountains, and deserts
today and  tomorrow due to an influx of monsoonal moistures.


$$

ECC024-031715-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
413 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY, MAINLY
FOCUSED ACROSS THE LA/VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE SAN GABRIEL
MOUNTAINS, ANTELOPE VALLEY, AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS INCLUDING  BRIDGE
FIRE BURN SCAR FOR POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS...

This afternoon through Thursday, monsoonal shower and thunderstorm
activity is possible across the mountains and deserts (especially
LA/Ventura counties), with a smaller chance for coasts and valleys.
The  main risks during this time frame will be the potential for
brief heavy  rainfall and flooding threats in the mountains and
deserts, along with a continued threat of strong downburst/outflow
winds and lightning. The  highest threat for flash flooding and
debris flows will be in the San  Gabriel mountains and Antelope
Valley where a flood watch is in effect.  The potential for
strongest outflow winds, locally damaging up to 60 mph will be this
afternoon and evening for the mountains and deserts of LA  and
Ventura Counties.

Offshore winds are likely late tonight through Wednesday morning at
8  to 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 30 mph. Theses winds will be
stronger for  the San Gabriel Mountains, Santa Susana Mountains, and
the interior San  Luis Obispo County Hills near the Gifford Fire.

Hot temperatures will persist into Wednesday, with warmer
temperatures  potentially occurring near the coast due to weakening
onshore flow. The  Heat Advisory has been extended through Wednesday
for the coasts and  valleys of LA and Ventura Counties with all
other areas expiring Tuesday evening. Expect high temperatures of
80 to 90 at the beaches, 90 to 100 across the inland coasts, and
98 to 104 across the valleys, foothills,  and deserts. Hot
temperatures combined with increased instability has  yielded deep
mixing heights which are peaking between 11,000 and 16,000  feet
this afternoon. As a result, there is an elevated risk for large
plume dominated fires across the interior. Humidities between 18 and
30  percent for the warmest valleys, lower mountains, and deserts
today and  tomorrow due to an influx of monsoonal moistures.


$$

ECC032-031715-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
413 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY, MAINLY
FOCUSED ACROSS THE LA/VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE SAN GABRIEL
MOUNTAINS, ANTELOPE VALLEY, AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS INCLUDING  BRIDGE
FIRE BURN SCAR FOR POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS...

This afternoon through Thursday, monsoonal shower and thunderstorm
activity is possible across the mountains and deserts (especially
LA/Ventura counties), with a smaller chance for coasts and valleys.
The  main risks during this time frame will be the potential for
brief heavy  rainfall and flooding threats in the mountains and
deserts, along with a continued threat of strong downburst/outflow
winds and lightning. The  highest threat for flash flooding and
debris flows will be in the San  Gabriel mountains and Antelope
Valley where a flood watch is in effect.  The potential for
strongest outflow winds, locally damaging up to 60 mph will be this
afternoon and evening for the mountains and deserts of LA  and
Ventura Counties.

Offshore winds are likely late tonight through Wednesday morning at
8  to 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 30 mph. Theses winds will be
stronger for  the San Gabriel Mountains, Santa Susana Mountains, and
the interior San  Luis Obispo County Hills near the Gifford Fire.

Hot temperatures will persist into Wednesday, with warmer
temperatures  potentially occurring near the coast due to weakening
onshore flow. The  Heat Advisory has been extended through Wednesday
for the coasts and  valleys of LA and Ventura Counties with all
other areas expiring Tuesday evening. Expect high temperatures of
80 to 90 at the beaches, 90 to 100 across the inland coasts, and
98 to 104 across the valleys, foothills,  and deserts. Hot
temperatures combined with increased instability has  yielded deep
mixing heights which are peaking between 11,000 and 16,000  feet
this afternoon. As a result, there is an elevated risk for large
plume dominated fires across the interior. Humidities between 18 and
30  percent for the warmest valleys, lower mountains, and deserts
today and  tomorrow due to an influx of monsoonal moistures.


$$

ECC030-031715-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
413 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY, MAINLY
FOCUSED ACROSS THE LA/VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...

..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE SAN GABRIEL
MOUNTAINS, ANTELOPE VALLEY, AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS INCLUDING  BRIDGE
FIRE BURN SCAR FOR POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS...

This afternoon through Thursday, monsoonal shower and thunderstorm
activity is possible across the mountains and deserts (especially
LA/Ventura counties), with a smaller chance for coasts and valleys.
The  main risks during this time frame will be the potential for
brief heavy  rainfall and flooding threats in the mountains and
deserts, along with a continued threat of strong downburst/outflow
winds and lightning. The  highest threat for flash flooding and
debris flows will be in the San  Gabriel mountains and Antelope
Valley where a flood watch is in effect.  The potential for
strongest outflow winds, locally damaging up to 60 mph will be this
afternoon and evening for the mountains and deserts of LA  and
Ventura Counties.

Offshore winds are likely late tonight through Wednesday morning at
8  to 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 30 mph. Theses winds will be
stronger for  the San Gabriel Mountains, Santa Susana Mountains, and
the interior San  Luis Obispo County Hills near the Gifford Fire.

Hot temperatures will persist into Wednesday, with warmer
temperatures  potentially occurring near the coast due to weakening
onshore flow. The  Heat Advisory has been extended through Wednesday
for the coasts and  valleys of LA and Ventura Counties with all
other areas expiring Tuesday evening. Expect high temperatures of
80 to 90 at the beaches, 90 to 100 across the inland coasts, and
98 to 104 across the valleys, foothills,  and deserts. Hot
temperatures combined with increased instability has  yielded deep
mixing heights which are peaking between 11,000 and 16,000  feet
this afternoon. As a result, there is an elevated risk for large
plume dominated fires across the interior. Humidities between 18 and
30  percent for the warmest valleys, lower mountains, and deserts
today and  tomorrow due to an influx of monsoonal moistures.


$$