Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
355 PM PDT Thu Aug 28 2025

ECC029-291700-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
355 PM PDT Thu Aug 28 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT DUE TO LOW RH AND MODERATE WESTERLY
WINDS ACROSS THE EAST BAY HILLS SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

The marine layer is around 1800 feet deep and will gradually
compress to around 1,000 feet by Saturday as modest ridging builds
from the south. This will also bring warmer temperatures and lower
RH. The interior mountains will likely drop below 15% RH on
Saturday, as temperatures climb into the 90s.  Fortunately winds
will remain moderate an onshore, but the standard afternoon breeze
will bring a brief period of elevated  fire weather concerns,
particularly across gaps and passes in the interior East Bay.
Similar conditions are expected Sunday with  only marginal
improvement through the week.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...LOW RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING  THROUGH
FRIDAY OVER LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

...WARMING AND DRYING TREND DEVELOPING OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH
INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
ACROSS  THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...

The remnants of Tropical Storm Juliette will move the region through
today and into Friday, scraping the region to the south and east.
Cooler conditions with a low chance of light showers and/or isolated
 thunderstorms are possible through Friday. There is a very low
chance  (less than 5 percent) of dry thunderstorms if thunderstorms
develop  today. Any fire starts that could develop today will make
initial  attack difficult due to erratic and gusty winds. Dry
lightning risks  will lower tonight but the remote chance (less than
5 percent) for brief heavy downpours will increase. Low chances of
showers and thunderstorms will linger into Friday, across eastern
Los Angeles County.

Temperatures will warm Friday through Tuesday as high pressure aloft
reestablishes and builds back into the Four Corners Region. Highs
in lower 90s to near 105 will be common inland by Sunday or Monday
with  mixing heights up to 15,000 feet potentially over the weekend.
There is an elevated risk for plume dominated fires. Humidities
between 10 and  20 percent will be common over the warmest valleys
and mountains.  Onshore winds will also be increasing over the
interior.


$$

ECC028-291700-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
355 PM PDT Thu Aug 28 2025

...LOW RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING  THROUGH
FRIDAY OVER LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

...WARMING AND DRYING TREND DEVELOPING OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH
INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
ACROSS  THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...

The remnants of Tropical Storm Juliette will move the region through
today and into Friday, scraping the region to the south and east.
Cooler conditions with a low chance of light showers and/or isolated
 thunderstorms are possible through Friday. There is a very low
chance  (less than 5 percent) of dry thunderstorms if thunderstorms
develop  today. Any fire starts that could develop today will make
initial  attack difficult due to erratic and gusty winds. Dry
lightning risks  will lower tonight but the remote chance (less than
5 percent) for brief heavy downpours will increase. Low chances of
showers and thunderstorms will linger into Friday, across eastern
Los Angeles County.

Temperatures will warm Friday through Tuesday as high pressure aloft
reestablishes and builds back into the Four Corners Region. Highs
in lower 90s to near 105 will be common inland by Sunday or Monday
with  mixing heights up to 15,000 feet potentially over the weekend.
There is an elevated risk for plume dominated fires. Humidities
between 10 and  20 percent will be common over the warmest valleys
and mountains.  Onshore winds will also be increasing over the
interior.


$$

ECC031-291700-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
355 PM PDT Thu Aug 28 2025

...LOW RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING  THROUGH
FRIDAY OVER LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

...WARMING AND DRYING TREND DEVELOPING OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH
INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
ACROSS  THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...

The remnants of Tropical Storm Juliette will move the region through
today and into Friday, scraping the region to the south and east.
Cooler conditions with a low chance of light showers and/or isolated
 thunderstorms are possible through Friday. There is a very low
chance  (less than 5 percent) of dry thunderstorms if thunderstorms
develop  today. Any fire starts that could develop today will make
initial  attack difficult due to erratic and gusty winds. Dry
lightning risks  will lower tonight but the remote chance (less than
5 percent) for brief heavy downpours will increase. Low chances of
showers and thunderstorms will linger into Friday, across eastern
Los Angeles County.

Temperatures will warm Friday through Tuesday as high pressure aloft
reestablishes and builds back into the Four Corners Region. Highs
in lower 90s to near 105 will be common inland by Sunday or Monday
with  mixing heights up to 15,000 feet potentially over the weekend.
There is an elevated risk for plume dominated fires. Humidities
between 10 and  20 percent will be common over the warmest valleys
and mountains.  Onshore winds will also be increasing over the
interior.


$$

ECC024-291700-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
355 PM PDT Thu Aug 28 2025

...LOW RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING  THROUGH
FRIDAY OVER LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

...WARMING AND DRYING TREND DEVELOPING OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH
INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
ACROSS  THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...

The remnants of Tropical Storm Juliette will move the region through
today and into Friday, scraping the region to the south and east.
Cooler conditions with a low chance of light showers and/or isolated
 thunderstorms are possible through Friday. There is a very low
chance  (less than 5 percent) of dry thunderstorms if thunderstorms
develop  today. Any fire starts that could develop today will make
initial  attack difficult due to erratic and gusty winds. Dry
lightning risks  will lower tonight but the remote chance (less than
5 percent) for brief heavy downpours will increase. Low chances of
showers and thunderstorms will linger into Friday, across eastern
Los Angeles County.

Temperatures will warm Friday through Tuesday as high pressure aloft
reestablishes and builds back into the Four Corners Region. Highs
in lower 90s to near 105 will be common inland by Sunday or Monday
with  mixing heights up to 15,000 feet potentially over the weekend.
There is an elevated risk for plume dominated fires. Humidities
between 10 and  20 percent will be common over the warmest valleys
and mountains.  Onshore winds will also be increasing over the
interior.


$$

ECC032-291700-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
355 PM PDT Thu Aug 28 2025

...LOW RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING  THROUGH
FRIDAY OVER LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

...WARMING AND DRYING TREND DEVELOPING OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH
INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
ACROSS  THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...

The remnants of Tropical Storm Juliette will move the region through
today and into Friday, scraping the region to the south and east.
Cooler conditions with a low chance of light showers and/or isolated
 thunderstorms are possible through Friday. There is a very low
chance  (less than 5 percent) of dry thunderstorms if thunderstorms
develop  today. Any fire starts that could develop today will make
initial  attack difficult due to erratic and gusty winds. Dry
lightning risks  will lower tonight but the remote chance (less than
5 percent) for brief heavy downpours will increase. Low chances of
showers and thunderstorms will linger into Friday, across eastern
Los Angeles County.

Temperatures will warm Friday through Tuesday as high pressure aloft
reestablishes and builds back into the Four Corners Region. Highs
in lower 90s to near 105 will be common inland by Sunday or Monday
with  mixing heights up to 15,000 feet potentially over the weekend.
There is an elevated risk for plume dominated fires. Humidities
between 10 and  20 percent will be common over the warmest valleys
and mountains.  Onshore winds will also be increasing over the
interior.


$$

ECC030-291700-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
355 PM PDT Thu Aug 28 2025

...LOW RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING  THROUGH
FRIDAY OVER LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

...WARMING AND DRYING TREND DEVELOPING OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH
INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
ACROSS  THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...

The remnants of Tropical Storm Juliette will move the region through
today and into Friday, scraping the region to the south and east.
Cooler conditions with a low chance of light showers and/or isolated
 thunderstorms are possible through Friday. There is a very low
chance  (less than 5 percent) of dry thunderstorms if thunderstorms
develop  today. Any fire starts that could develop today will make
initial  attack difficult due to erratic and gusty winds. Dry
lightning risks  will lower tonight but the remote chance (less than
5 percent) for brief heavy downpours will increase. Low chances of
showers and thunderstorms will linger into Friday, across eastern
Los Angeles County.

Temperatures will warm Friday through Tuesday as high pressure aloft
reestablishes and builds back into the Four Corners Region. Highs
in lower 90s to near 105 will be common inland by Sunday or Monday
with  mixing heights up to 15,000 feet potentially over the weekend.
There is an elevated risk for plume dominated fires. Humidities
between 10 and  20 percent will be common over the warmest valleys
and mountains.  Onshore winds will also be increasing over the
interior.


$$