


Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
687 FNUS86 KLOX 101620 FWLLOX FNUS86 KLOX 101620 FWLLOX ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ECC029-111030- Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch 920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...Discussion from Monterey... Isolated rain showers remain possible today, particularly for the North Bay. Cool and moist conditions will persist through the weekend with the help of below normal temperatures and a deep marine layer. Moderate onshore winds with gusts of 35-45 mph are possible in the higher terrain and in northwest-southeast oriented valleys. A slight chance for thunderstorms returns Monday into Tuesday. Widespread wetting rainfall of one inch is expected Monday through Wednesday, locally higher totals of two to three inches are possible in the higher terrain. Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified. Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds. ...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard... ...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES... ...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain east of LA county. Gusty northwest to north winds with potential peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night, such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway 33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley. As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday. There is the potential for a significant storm system that could bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night and Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result, there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns, especially near recent burn scars. $$ ECC028-111030- Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch 920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES... ...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain east of LA county. Gusty northwest to north winds with potential peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night, such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway 33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley. As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday. There is the potential for a significant storm system that could bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night and Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result, there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns, especially near recent burn scars. $$ ECC031-111030- Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch 920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES... ...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain east of LA county. Gusty northwest to north winds with potential peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night, such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway 33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley. As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday. There is the potential for a significant storm system that could bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night and Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result, there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns, especially near recent burn scars. $$ ECC024-111030- San Luis Obispo County- Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch 920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES... ...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain east of LA county. Gusty northwest to north winds with potential peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night, such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway 33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley. As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday. There is the potential for a significant storm system that could bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night and Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result, there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns, especially near recent burn scars. $$ ECC032-111030- Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch 920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES... ...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain east of LA county. Gusty northwest to north winds with potential peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night, such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway 33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley. As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday. There is the potential for a significant storm system that could bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night and Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result, there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns, especially near recent burn scars. $$ ECC030-111030- Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch 920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES... ...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain east of LA county. Gusty northwest to north winds with potential peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night, such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway 33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley. As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday. There is the potential for a significant storm system that could bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night and Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result, there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns, especially near recent burn scars. $$