Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 101620
FWLLOX
FNUS86 KLOX 101620
FWLLOX

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

ECC029-111030-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

Isolated rain showers remain possible today, particularly for the
North Bay. Cool and moist conditions will  persist through the
weekend with the help of below normal  temperatures and a deep
marine layer. Moderate onshore winds with  gusts of 35-45 mph are
possible in the higher terrain and in  northwest-southeast oriented
valleys. A slight chance for  thunderstorms returns Monday into
Tuesday. Widespread wetting  rainfall of one inch is expected Monday
through Wednesday, locally higher totals of two to three inches are
possible in the higher  terrain.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT,
SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT
WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway
33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley.
As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather
concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will
shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county
and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be
likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will
bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern
Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range
of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is
the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of
rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result,
there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns,
especially near recent burn scars.


$$

ECC028-111030-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT,
SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT
WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway
33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley.
As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather
concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will
shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county
and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be
likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will
bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern
Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range
of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is
the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of
rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result,
there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns,
especially near recent burn scars.


$$

ECC031-111030-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT,
SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT
WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway
33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley.
As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather
concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will
shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county
and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be
likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will
bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern
Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range
of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is
the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of
rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result,
there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns,
especially near recent burn scars.


$$

ECC024-111030-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT,
SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT
WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway
33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley.
As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather
concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will
shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county
and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be
likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will
bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern
Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range
of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is
the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of
rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result,
there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns,
especially near recent burn scars.


$$

ECC032-111030-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT,
SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT
WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway
33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley.
As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather
concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will
shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county
and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be
likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will
bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern
Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range
of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is
the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of
rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result,
there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns,
especially near recent burn scars.


$$

ECC030-111030-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
920 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH POCKETS OF DRYING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT,
SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES WITH POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR STORM EARLY NEXT
WEEK BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 30 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,Highway
33 corridor, and Santa Clarita Valley/western San Fernando Valley.
As a result, these areas could experience some elevated fire weather
concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the flow will
shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura county
and western LA county, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph will be
likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and 25 percent will
bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions across eastern
Ventura county and western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday. Confidence is still low in terms of potential range
of outcomes in terms of rain amounts and intensities, but there is
the potential for some significant orographic enhancement of
rainfall across south and southwest facing slopes. As a result,
there is the potential for some flooding/debris flow concerns,
especially near recent burn scars.


$$