Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
320 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

ECC029-111630-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
320 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

No significant fire weather concerns this weekend although there
will be onshore wind gusts up to 40 mph across higher terrain. Cool
temperatures and good humidity recovery will limit fire weather
concerns, however. A significant rain storm  will bring widespread
wetting rain of 1-3" of rain throughout the  Bay Area and Central
Coast from Monday through Tuesday, increasing fuel moisture
substantially. If any thunderstorms develop they  will bring heavy
showers.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS,
SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY, SANTA CLARITA VALLEY, WESTERN SAN
FERNANDO VALLEY, AND SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS OF EASTERN VENTURA AND WESTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH STORM BETWEEN
MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,LA/Ventura county
mountains Santa Clarita Valley, and western San Fernando Valley. As
a result, these areas will likely experience some elevated fire
weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the
flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura
county and western LA counties, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph
will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and
25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions
across the mountains and valleys of eastern Ventura county and
western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday, with most of the rain likely falling on Tuesday.
While  the threat of significant flash flooding/debris flows over
recent burn scars is low, it is not zero.


$$

ECC028-111630-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
320 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS,
SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY, SANTA CLARITA VALLEY, WESTERN SAN
FERNANDO VALLEY, AND SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS OF EASTERN VENTURA AND WESTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH STORM BETWEEN
MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,LA/Ventura county
mountains Santa Clarita Valley, and western San Fernando Valley. As
a result, these areas will likely experience some elevated fire
weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the
flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura
county and western LA counties, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph
will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and
25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions
across the mountains and valleys of eastern Ventura county and
western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday, with most of the rain likely falling on Tuesday.
While  the threat of significant flash flooding/debris flows over
recent burn scars is low, it is not zero.


$$

ECC031-111630-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
320 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS,
SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY, SANTA CLARITA VALLEY, WESTERN SAN
FERNANDO VALLEY, AND SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS OF EASTERN VENTURA AND WESTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH STORM BETWEEN
MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,LA/Ventura county
mountains Santa Clarita Valley, and western San Fernando Valley. As
a result, these areas will likely experience some elevated fire
weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the
flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura
county and western LA counties, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph
will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and
25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions
across the mountains and valleys of eastern Ventura county and
western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday, with most of the rain likely falling on Tuesday.
While  the threat of significant flash flooding/debris flows over
recent burn scars is low, it is not zero.


$$

ECC024-111630-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
320 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS,
SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY, SANTA CLARITA VALLEY, WESTERN SAN
FERNANDO VALLEY, AND SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS OF EASTERN VENTURA AND WESTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH STORM BETWEEN
MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,LA/Ventura county
mountains Santa Clarita Valley, and western San Fernando Valley. As
a result, these areas will likely experience some elevated fire
weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the
flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura
county and western LA counties, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph
will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and
25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions
across the mountains and valleys of eastern Ventura county and
western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday, with most of the rain likely falling on Tuesday.
While  the threat of significant flash flooding/debris flows over
recent burn scars is low, it is not zero.


$$

ECC032-111630-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
320 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS,
SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY, SANTA CLARITA VALLEY, WESTERN SAN
FERNANDO VALLEY, AND SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS OF EASTERN VENTURA AND WESTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH STORM BETWEEN
MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,LA/Ventura county
mountains Santa Clarita Valley, and western San Fernando Valley. As
a result, these areas will likely experience some elevated fire
weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the
flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura
county and western LA counties, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph
will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and
25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions
across the mountains and valleys of eastern Ventura county and
western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday, with most of the rain likely falling on Tuesday.
While  the threat of significant flash flooding/debris flows over
recent burn scars is low, it is not zero.


$$

ECC030-111630-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
320 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS,
SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY, SANTA CLARITA VALLEY, WESTERN SAN
FERNANDO VALLEY, AND SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS OF EASTERN VENTURA AND WESTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH STORM BETWEEN
MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will
continue to bring a slight chance (10-20 percent) of showers across
LA county today, with the thunderstorm threat now expected to remain
east of LA county.  Gusty northwest to north winds with potential
peak gusts of 35 to 50 mph across wind-prone interior areas and
southern Santa Barbara County will be likely at time from late this
afternoon through Saturday night. While humidity levels will remain
elevated across the interior slopes, there will likely be some
downslope drying with humidites falling to between 20 and 30 percent
in some of the windier locations on Saturday and Saturday night,
such as portions of southern Santa Barbara county,LA/Ventura county
mountains Santa Clarita Valley, and western San Fernando Valley. As
a result, these areas will likely experience some elevated fire
weather concerns on Saturday into Saturday night. By Sunday, the
flow will shift to the northeast, mainly focusing on eastern Ventura
county and western LA counties, where wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph
will be likely. This coupled with humidities between 12 and
25 percent will bring widespread elevated fire weather conditions
across the mountains and valleys of eastern Ventura county and
western LA county on Sunday.

There is the potential for a significant storm system that could
bring widespread rain to the region sometime between Monday night
and  Wednesday, with most of the rain likely falling on Tuesday.
While  the threat of significant flash flooding/debris flows over
recent burn scars is low, it is not zero.


$$