Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
141 FNUS86 KLOX 141451 FWLLOX FNUS86 KLOX 141450 FWLLOX ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 750 AM PDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ECC029-150900- Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch 750 AM PDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ...Discussion from Monterey... Post-frontal rain showers and a slight chance for thunderstorms will linger through the day. A warming and drying trend will kick off tomorrow and continue through Saturday. Light northerly and drying winds will prevail Wednesday and Thursday with light offshore flow expected Friday and Saturday. These will not cause any elevated fire weather conditions thanks to the recent widespread wetting rainfall. Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified. Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds. ...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard... ...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TODAY OVER VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES... A significant storm system has moved through Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo County last night and will slowly move through Ventura and Los Angeles County today. The storm is moving a couple of hours slower than expected. Peak rain rates of 0.33 to 0.66 with isolated 1.00 remain on target. The risk for minor/shallow debris flows over burn scars that are one year old or less is high. The risk for significant debris flow is moderate, especially for the Eaton, Palisades, and southern Bridge scars. Older burns scars may see shallow debris flows. South winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over most areas, with pockets of brief enhanced wind gusts to 50 or 60 mph. One or two tornadoes remain possible, especially in the Los Angeles area. The core of the storm should pass through Los Angeles County by around 1pm. For San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, and all areas after the main ran band moves through, off and on again showers will continue into tonight. While most areas will see limited impacts with these light to moderate showers, one or two showers will be heavy. Drying and warming will follow Wednesday through Friday or Saturday. Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph are likely over the wind prone areas Wednesday Night like southwest Santa Barbara County and the I-5 Corridor, winds will shift to the northeast and weaken some on Thursday, but will stay northeast and could increase a bit on Friday. $$ ECC028-150900- Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch 750 AM PDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TODAY OVER VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES... A significant storm system has moved through Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo County last night and will slowly move through Ventura and Los Angeles County today. The storm is moving a couple of hours slower than expected. Peak rain rates of 0.33 to 0.66 with isolated 1.00 remain on target. The risk for minor/shallow debris flows over burn scars that are one year old or less is high. The risk for significant debris flow is moderate, especially for the Eaton, Palisades, and southern Bridge scars. Older burns scars may see shallow debris flows. South winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over most areas, with pockets of brief enhanced wind gusts to 50 or 60 mph. One or two tornadoes remain possible, especially in the Los Angeles area. The core of the storm should pass through Los Angeles County by around 1pm. For San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, and all areas after the main ran band moves through, off and on again showers will continue into tonight. While most areas will see limited impacts with these light to moderate showers, one or two showers will be heavy. Drying and warming will follow Wednesday through Friday or Saturday. Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph are likely over the wind prone areas Wednesday Night like southwest Santa Barbara County and the I-5 Corridor, winds will shift to the northeast and weaken some on Thursday, but will stay northeast and could increase a bit on Friday. $$ ECC031-150900- Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch 750 AM PDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TODAY OVER VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES... A significant storm system has moved through Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo County last night and will slowly move through Ventura and Los Angeles County today. The storm is moving a couple of hours slower than expected. Peak rain rates of 0.33 to 0.66 with isolated 1.00 remain on target. The risk for minor/shallow debris flows over burn scars that are one year old or less is high. The risk for significant debris flow is moderate, especially for the Eaton, Palisades, and southern Bridge scars. Older burns scars may see shallow debris flows. South winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over most areas, with pockets of brief enhanced wind gusts to 50 or 60 mph. One or two tornadoes remain possible, especially in the Los Angeles area. The core of the storm should pass through Los Angeles County by around 1pm. For San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, and all areas after the main ran band moves through, off and on again showers will continue into tonight. While most areas will see limited impacts with these light to moderate showers, one or two showers will be heavy. Drying and warming will follow Wednesday through Friday or Saturday. Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph are likely over the wind prone areas Wednesday Night like southwest Santa Barbara County and the I-5 Corridor, winds will shift to the northeast and weaken some on Thursday, but will stay northeast and could increase a bit on Friday. $$ ECC024-150900- San Luis Obispo County- Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch 750 AM PDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TODAY OVER VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES... A significant storm system has moved through Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo County last night and will slowly move through Ventura and Los Angeles County today. The storm is moving a couple of hours slower than expected. Peak rain rates of 0.33 to 0.66 with isolated 1.00 remain on target. The risk for minor/shallow debris flows over burn scars that are one year old or less is high. The risk for significant debris flow is moderate, especially for the Eaton, Palisades, and southern Bridge scars. Older burns scars may see shallow debris flows. South winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over most areas, with pockets of brief enhanced wind gusts to 50 or 60 mph. One or two tornadoes remain possible, especially in the Los Angeles area. The core of the storm should pass through Los Angeles County by around 1pm. For San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, and all areas after the main ran band moves through, off and on again showers will continue into tonight. While most areas will see limited impacts with these light to moderate showers, one or two showers will be heavy. Drying and warming will follow Wednesday through Friday or Saturday. Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph are likely over the wind prone areas Wednesday Night like southwest Santa Barbara County and the I-5 Corridor, winds will shift to the northeast and weaken some on Thursday, but will stay northeast and could increase a bit on Friday. $$ ECC032-150900- Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch 750 AM PDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TODAY OVER VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES... A significant storm system has moved through Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo County last night and will slowly move through Ventura and Los Angeles County today. The storm is moving a couple of hours slower than expected. Peak rain rates of 0.33 to 0.66 with isolated 1.00 remain on target. The risk for minor/shallow debris flows over burn scars that are one year old or less is high. The risk for significant debris flow is moderate, especially for the Eaton, Palisades, and southern Bridge scars. Older burns scars may see shallow debris flows. South winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over most areas, with pockets of brief enhanced wind gusts to 50 or 60 mph. One or two tornadoes remain possible, especially in the Los Angeles area. The core of the storm should pass through Los Angeles County by around 1pm. For San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, and all areas after the main ran band moves through, off and on again showers will continue into tonight. While most areas will see limited impacts with these light to moderate showers, one or two showers will be heavy. Drying and warming will follow Wednesday through Friday or Saturday. Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph are likely over the wind prone areas Wednesday Night like southwest Santa Barbara County and the I-5 Corridor, winds will shift to the northeast and weaken some on Thursday, but will stay northeast and could increase a bit on Friday. $$ ECC030-150900- Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch 750 AM PDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TODAY OVER VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES... A significant storm system has moved through Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo County last night and will slowly move through Ventura and Los Angeles County today. The storm is moving a couple of hours slower than expected. Peak rain rates of 0.33 to 0.66 with isolated 1.00 remain on target. The risk for minor/shallow debris flows over burn scars that are one year old or less is high. The risk for significant debris flow is moderate, especially for the Eaton, Palisades, and southern Bridge scars. Older burns scars may see shallow debris flows. South winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will be common over most areas, with pockets of brief enhanced wind gusts to 50 or 60 mph. One or two tornadoes remain possible, especially in the Los Angeles area. The core of the storm should pass through Los Angeles County by around 1pm. For San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, and all areas after the main ran band moves through, off and on again showers will continue into tonight. While most areas will see limited impacts with these light to moderate showers, one or two showers will be heavy. Drying and warming will follow Wednesday through Friday or Saturday. Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph are likely over the wind prone areas Wednesday Night like southwest Santa Barbara County and the I-5 Corridor, winds will shift to the northeast and weaken some on Thursday, but will stay northeast and could increase a bit on Friday. $$