Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
936
FSUS46 KLOX 182309
QPSLOX
Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
306 PM PST Tue Nov 18 2025
Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour
increments until 0400 followed by 6-hour increments until 1600.
Thunderstorm chances cover up to 1600 on day 1 only.
Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an
inch are shown as lgt.
The discussion covers the period from: Tue Nov 18 2025 through Mon Nov 24 2025.
&&
16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16
San Luis Obispo County...
LSRC1:Cambria 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SMRC1:Santa Margarita 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
NIPC1:Lopez Lake 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Peak rates expected to occur between: 1700-2000
Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%
&& 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16
Santa Barbara County...
SIYC1:Santa Maria 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SMCC1:San Marcos Pass 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SBFC1:Santa Barbara City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.00 0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 0% <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: 0% <5%
Peak rates expected to occur between: 1600-1900
Chance of Thunderstorms: 20%
Isolated rates around 0.0 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.
&& 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16
Ventura County...
FGWC1:Fagan Canyon lgt 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
HRCC1:Hopper Canyon 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MTDC1:Matilija Dam lgt 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
VTUC1:Ventura City lgt 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MORC1:Moorpark 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
CRXC1:Circle X Ranch 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Peak rates expected to occur between: 1600-1900
Chance of Thunderstorms: 20%
Isolated rates around 0.0 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.
&& 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16
Los Angeles County...
WFKC1:West Fork Heliport lgt 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 lgt
BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam lgt 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 lgt
PCDC1:Pacoima Dam 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SAUC1:Saugus 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
CQT:Downtown LA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Peak rates expected to occur between: 1600-1900
Chance of Thunderstorms: 20%
Isolated rates around 0.0 in/hr possible near thunderstorms.
&&
DISCUSSION:
Scattered light to moderate showers will be around today, with
possible but isolated thunderstorms or heavy showers. While most
rain rates will be under 0.25 inch, there will likely be a few
showers that produce rates of 0.25 to 0.50 inches. Difficult to say
where those might occur. With the abundant recent rain, these rates
could result in moderate road flooding, and signficant rockslides or
mudslides. Showers decrease in coverage and intensity tonight
through Wednesday. Another storm system will bring widespread rain
on Thursday or Thursday Night, with showers into Friday. Common rain
totals of 0.5 to 1.0 inches look most common, with 1 to 2 inches in
the favored foothills or mountains. There are however 20-30% of the
projections that show double that. If those solutions verify,
because of the abundant recent rains, moderate flooding, rockslide,
and mudslide impacts would be on the table. Dry weather looks to
follow next week.
$$