Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Versions:
1
2
431
FSUS46 KLOX 052031
QPSLOX
Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1228 PM PST Wed Nov 05 2025
Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour
increments until 0400 followed by 6-hour increments until 1600.
Thunderstorm chances cover up to 1600 on day 1 only.
Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an
inch are shown as lgt.
The discussion covers the period from: Wed Nov 05 2025 through Tue Nov 11 2025.
&&
16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16
San Luis Obispo County...
LSRC1:Cambria 0.2 lgt lgt 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SMRC1:Santa Margarita 0.2 lgt lgt 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
NIPC1:Lopez Lake lgt 0.0 lgt 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.05-0.10 0.05-0.15
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Peak rates expected to occur between: 1600-1900
Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%
&& 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16
Santa Barbara County...
SIYC1:Santa Maria lgt 0.0 lgt 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero 0.0 0.0 0.0 lgt | lgt 0.0
GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam 0.0 0.0 lgt 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SMCC1:San Marcos Pass 0.0 0.0 lgt 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SBFC1:Santa Barbara City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5% <5%
Peak rates expected to occur between: 2100-0000
Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%
&& 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16
Ventura County...
FGWC1:Fagan Canyon 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
HRCC1:Hopper Canyon 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MTDC1:Matilija Dam 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
VTUC1:Ventura City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MORC1:Moorpark 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
CRXC1:Circle X Ranch 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.00 0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 0% <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: 0% <5%
Peak rates expected to occur between: 0300-0700
Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%
&& 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16
Los Angeles County...
WFKC1:West Fork Heliport 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
PCDC1:Pacoima Dam 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SAUC1:Saugus 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
CQT:Downtown LA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.00 0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 0% <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: 0% <5%
Peak rates expected to occur between: 0300-0700
Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%
&&
DISCUSSION:
The tail end of a weakening atmospheric river will likely bring rain
to the Central Coast through tonight. Rainfall amounts will mostly
be under a tenth of an inch or less through tonight, except a
quarter of an inch to one inch of rain is expected in northwest San
Luis Obispo County. There is a 10 percent chance of amounts over an
inch in northwest San Luis Obispo County.
There is a high chance of widespread rain at some point after next
Tuesday. There is a 40 percent chance of impacts associated with
periods of moderate to heavy rainfall. Peak timing of the rain looks
to fall sometime between Wednesday and Friday. While there is low
confidence in the exact details this far out, initial estimates
place amounts between one and two inches across the coastal and
valley areas and two to four inches across the mountains and
foothills.
$$