632
FGUS63 KKRF 271512
ESPLSH

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1511Z Sun Sep 27 2026

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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

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Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- LOWER SMOKY FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:S FK SOLOMON R AT WOODSTON KS 1S
WODK1 (GID)    11.0  32%     12.0  30%     16.0  23%     27.0  <5%
:S FK SOLOMON R AT OSBORNE KS
OSBK1 (GID)    12.0  55%     14.0  53%     20.0  26%     27.0  <5%
:N FK SOLOMON R AT PORTIS KS
PTIK1 (GID)    13.0  55%     15.0  48%     20.0  41%     25.0  15%
:SOLOMON R AT BELOIT KS NO.2
BLTK1 (GID)    18.0  49%     20.0  43%     25.0  29%     30.0  7%
:SOLOMON R AT GLASCO KS 1S
GLAK1 (TOP)    20.0  46%     22.0  44%     25.0  32%     34.0  <5%
:SOLOMON R AT MINNEAPOLIS KS
MPSK1 (TOP)    24.0  23%     26.0  22%     30.0  21%     38.0  <5%
:SALT CR AT BARNARD KS
BRNK1 (ICT)    19.0  42%     21.0  38%     23.3  34%     24.9  6%
:SALT CR NR AT ADA KS 3ESE
ADAK1 (TOP)    16.0  52%     18.0  51%     20.0  41%     24.0  <5%
:SOLOMON R AT NILES KS
NLSK1 (TOP)    22.0  66%     24.0  60%     28.0  50%     34.0  <5%
:SALINE R AT LINCOLN KS 1SE
LINK1 (ICT)    28.0  51%     30.0  44%     36.0  22%     38.5  8%
:SALINE R AT TESCOTT KS
TSCK1 (TOP)    23.0  71%     25.0  68%     29.0  57%     32.0  7%
:SMOKY HILL R AT LINDSBORG KS
LNSK1 (ICT)    19.0  6%      21.0  6%      29.0  <5%     33.9  <5%
:SMOKY HILL R AT MENTOR KS 4N
MTRK1 (ICT)    18.0  9%      20.0  9%      24.0  7%      28.0  5%
:MULBERRY CR AT SALINA KS 3W
SLNK1 (ICT)    22.0  7%      24.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     27.4  <5%
:SMOKY HILL R AT NEW CAMBRIA KS 1SE
NCMK1 (ICT)    25.0  25%     27.0  23%     30.0  15%     33.1  7%
:SMOKY HILL R AT ABILENE KS
ABIK1 (TOP)    25.0  16%     27.0  15%     30.0  14%     33.0  <5%
:MUD CR AT ABILENE KS 1NW
ALEK1 (TOP)    12.0  29%     15.0  6%      27.0  <5%     33.0  <5%
:SMOKY HILL R AT ENTERPRISE KS
ENTK1 (TOP)    24.0  38%     26.0  35%     27.0  34%     40.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$