Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
361
FNUS53 KLSX 152120
FWFLSX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern/Central MO and Southwest IL
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Temperatures will remain unseasonably warm through Friday with
winds gradually increasing out of the south through the week
ahead of a cold front. With the warmer air at the surface, mixing
heights will be unseasonably high (3-5kft) during the afternoon
and will have no problem rising above 1700ft by mid-morning both
Thursday and Friday. Friday in particular will see very good
ventilation rates across most of Missouri, with the low-level
atmosphere becoming very unstable and transport winds jumping
into the 15-20mph range. Minimum RH values are currently forecast
in the 35-50% range both days, with about a 10% chance of seeing
RH values fall to the 25-35% range across the region by Friday.
All of this will be amidst wind speeds of 10-15mph, and the
driest air looks offset from the strongest winds. While brief
periods of elevated fire danger may develop on Friday, they will
be few and far between. Critical fire danger warranting a Red
Flag Warning is not likely due to the factors described above.
The cold front arrives Saturday morning bringing widespread
beneficial rainfall to the region, with some areas reaching 1.50-
2.50 inches when all is said and done late Saturday. Cooler air
will accompany the front, with temperatures modulating through
early next week.
MOZ072-073-083-084-099-160900-
Crawford MO-Washington MO-Dent MO-Iron MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Potosi/Salem Ranger District and Salem
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (0) 82 (-1) 55 82
RH % (24h trend) 97 (+6) 43 (+3) 91 42
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 5-9 G16 SE 3-7 G17 S 3-7 G15
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 77 76
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 300 4430 330 4090
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 4 SE 6 SE 4 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) E 8 SE 13 SE 9 S 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 0 10000 0 12050
Poor Good Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 37 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ074-075-085-160900-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Madison MO-
Including the cities of Farmington and Fredericktown Ranger
District
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (0) 82 (-1) 54 82
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+7) 43 (+3) 85 40
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 5-9 SE 3-7 G16 S 4-8 G15
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 77 75
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 270 4410 320 3390
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 3 SE 5 SE 4 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) E 7 SE 10 SE 9 S 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 0 7390 40 6670
Poor Fair Poor Fair
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers, cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ041-047>050-160900-
Boone MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Cedar Creek Ranger District,
Jefferson City, and Fulton
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (0) 83 (-1) 59 84
RH % (24h trend) 92 (-1) 38 (-4) 89 41
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var S 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 7-11 G17 SE 4-8 G17 S 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 80 80
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 320 5130 380 6740
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 3 S 8 S 6 S 8
Transport Wnd (mph) E 7 S 17 S 14 S 17
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 150 13660 340 21000
Poor Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ051-059-060-062-065-160900-
Montgomery MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Franklin MO-Jefferson MO-
Including the cities of Washington, Union, and Sullivan
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-1) 83 (-1) 56 83
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+2) 40 (0) 88 40
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var S 3-7 G17
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 6-10 SE 4-8 G18 S 5-9 G16
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 79 79
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 310 5060 360 5390
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 3 SE 6 SE 5 S 6
Transport Wnd (mph) E 7 SE 14 SE 10 S 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 80 11420 190 13510
Poor Good Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 39 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ061-063-064-160900-
Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles and Saint Louis
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-1) 83 (-1) 59 83
RH % (24h trend) 90 (0) 39 (-1) 84 41
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var SE 4-8 G15
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 5-9 SE 4-8 G19 S 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 78 77
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 340 4820 380 4470
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 3 SE 5 SE 5 S 6
Transport Wnd (mph) E 7 SE 12 SE 12 S 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 120 9540 300 12010
Poor Good Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
ILZ064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-160900-
Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-
Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-
Including the cities of Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, Chester,
Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, and Cahokia
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-1) 82 (-2) 52 82
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+4) 39 (+1) 87 35
Wind 20ft AM(mph) E 3-7 G16 SE 4-8
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 5-9 SE 4-8 G17 S 6-10 G16
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
1700ft mixing temp 76 75
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 330 4500 380 3220
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 3 SE 4 E 5 S 6
Transport Wnd (mph) E 7 SE 9 E 12 S 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 80 8440 320 8560
Poor Good Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs around 80. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers, cooler. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 35 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-042-052-160900-
Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-
Audrain MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Bowling Green, and Mexico
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Sprinkles None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-2) 82 (0) 58 82
RH % (24h trend) 94 (+7) 41 (-4) 90 45
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 3-7 S 6-10 G19
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 7-11 SE 5-9 G19 S 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
1700ft mixing temp 78 79
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 350 5010 400 6010
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 3 S 7 SE 7 S 8
Transport Wnd (mph) E 7 S 16 SE 15 S 17
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 80 13330 230 21610
Poor Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ095>098-160900-
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, and Pittsfield
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Sprinkles None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-2) 82 (0) 58 82
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+5) 40 (-4) 84 43
Wind 20ft AM(mph) E 4-8 G17 S 6-10 G19
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 6-10 SE 5-9 G19 S 7-11 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
1700ft mixing temp 77 78
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 320 4900 370 4930
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 3 S 6 SE 7 S 7
Transport Wnd (mph) E 7 S 14 SE 15 S 16
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 150 11690 300 17310
Poor Good Poor Excellent
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ058>060-099-160900-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Jersey IL-
Including the city of Litchfield
419 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Sprinkles None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-2) 81 (-2) 54 80
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+5) 40 (-1) 83 35
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 4-8 G17 SE 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 5-9 SE 5-9 G17 S 7-11 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
1700ft mixing temp 76 75
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 350 4630 390 3210
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 3 SE 5 SE 6 S 7
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 7 SE 10 SE 13 S 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 100 8840 250 9060
Poor Good Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$