Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
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FNUS53 KLSX 201700
FWFLSX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern/Central MO and Southwest IL
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
1059 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
A stationary front near the Missouri/Arkansas border will slowly
lift northward into southern Missouri today. This boundary will
be the focus for showers and thunderstorms this morning through
this afternoon. Widespread soaking rain is expected to fall in
near and south of Rolla through Festus, MO and Chester, IL.
Average rainfall amounts of around 1" can be expected by late
this afternoon with locally higher amounts in and around
thunderstorms. Overcast skies and rainfall will suppress mixing
heights to 1200 feet or less this afternoon.
The front will continue to lift northward late tonight into
Friday with an additional round of widespread rainfall.
Conditions become less favorable for thunderstorms in the second
round, likely mitigating the highly variable precipitation
amounts that are common in convective environments. Nonetheless,
soaking rain continues through early Saturday morning before the
system exits to the east. Mixing height improve slightly over the
Ozarks into southeast Missouri, where height climb between
2000-2300 feet. Otherwise, expect similar heights as Friday
(~1,000 feet) outside of the Ozarks. Temperatures cool back to
around seasonal norms Saturday (50s) as rain comes to an end. The
environment becomes stable with low inversion heights, along with
mixing heights below 3000 feet.
MOZ072-073-083-084-099-202200-
Crawford MO-Washington MO-Dent MO-Iron MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Potosi/Salem Ranger District and Salem
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 100 100 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+1) 52 (+6) 66
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+11) 100 (0) 80
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var lgt/var
Precip Amount 0.74 0.43 0.19
Precip Duration 6 10 4
1700ft mixing temp 67 67
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1130 330 2240
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 5 S 3 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 7 SW 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2770 0 7470
Poor Poor Fair
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs around 60. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
around 60. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
around 50. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ074-075-085-202200-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Madison MO-
Including the cities of Farmington and Fredericktown Ranger
District
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 100 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (+1) 52 (+5) 65
RH % (24h trend) 83 (+9) 100 (0) 82
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var lgt/var
Precip Amount 0.58 0.38 0.24
Precip Duration 6 8 5
1700ft mixing temp 67 66
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1060 290 1900
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 5 S 3 W 7
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 S 6 W 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2360 0 5210
Poor Poor Marginal
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs around 60. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ041-047>050-202200-
Boone MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Cedar Creek Ranger District,
Jefferson City, and Fulton
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 50 100 100
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+5) 51 (+5) 59
RH % (24h trend) 77 (+3) 100 (0) 75
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var E 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var NE 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.06 0.43 0.38
Precip Duration 2 9 11
1700ft mixing temp 65 66
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1100 360 1780
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 3 SE 3 W 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 6 SE 7 W 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1930 130 5680
Poor Poor Marginal
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ051-059-060-062-065-202200-
Montgomery MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Franklin MO-Jefferson MO-
Including the cities of Washington, Union, and Sullivan
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 90 100 100
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 58 (+3) 50 (+4) 61
RH % (24h trend) 76 (+4) 100 (0) 81
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var E 3-7 G17
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var NE 4-8 G16
Precip Amount 0.14 0.35 0.37
Precip Duration 3 8 10
1700ft mixing temp 66 68
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1180 340 1720
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 4 S 3 W 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 S 7 W 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2220 120 5970
Poor Poor Fair
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ061-063-064-202200-
Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles and Saint Louis
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Precip Type Rain Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 100 100
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 57 (+3) 52 (+6) 58
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+5) 100 (0) 79
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NE 3-7
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var NE 4-8 G16
Precip Amount 0.03 0.32 0.39
Precip Duration 2 7 10
1700ft mixing temp 66 67
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1180 380 1400
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 4 SE 3 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 SE 7 NW 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2130 120 3800
Poor Poor Poor
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-202200-
Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-
Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-
Including the cities of Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, Chester,
Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, and Cahokia
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Precip Type Rain Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 100 100
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+2) 50 (+5) 60
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+3) 100 (0) 81
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var E 3-7
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var NE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.07 0.27 0.40
Precip Duration 3 6 10
1700ft mixing temp 66 67
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1190 330 1210
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 SE 3 W 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 7 W 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2300 150 4720
Poor Poor Marginal
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs around 60. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower
50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-042-052-202200-
Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-
Audrain MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Bowling Green, and Mexico
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Precip Type None Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (+6) 47 (+2) 52
RH % (24h trend) 74 (-1) 100 (0) 73
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NE 6-10 G19
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var NE 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.36 0.50
Precip Duration 6 11
1700ft mixing temp 63 62
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1250 410 1180
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 3 E 3 NE 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 6 E 7 NE 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1900 100 3740
Poor Poor Poor
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ095>098-202200-
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, and Pittsfield
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+4) 47 (+2) 52
RH % (24h trend) 75 (-1) 100 (0) 70
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NE 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var NE 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.25 0.51
Precip Duration 2 11
1700ft mixing temp 62 62
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1360 400 1170
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 E 3 NE 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 E 6 NE 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2130 200 3830
Poor Poor Poor
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ058>060-099-202200-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Jersey IL-
Including the city of Litchfield
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 80 100
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+5) 48 (+4) 54
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+2) 100 (0) 79
Wind 20ft AM(mph) lgt/var NE 4-8 G15
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var lgt/var NE 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.01 0.28 0.53
Precip Duration 1 4 11
1700ft mixing temp 64 65
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1270 390 1130
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 5 E 4 NE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 E 8 NE 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2360 100 2480
Poor Poor Poor
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows around 40. Highs in
the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 40.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$