Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO
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FNUS53 KLSX 162119
FWFLSX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern/Central MO and Southwest IL
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
An abnormally dry air mass is in place across the region today,
with RH bottoming out around 20% among weak northerly winds that
will continue to mitigate Elevated Fire Weather Danger. Tonight
into Tuesday, winds will become west-southwesterly and begin
increasing moisture from west to east. There is a narrow window
during the late morning and afternoon in which exists a low
chance for Elevated Fire Danger when RH is low enough and winds
strong enough. However, with confidence low in these conditions
aligning conducively before moisture increases further, in
addition to increasing cloud cover and cool fuel temperatures to
start the day, this threat is expected to be mitigated. Scattered
showers and a thunderstorms or two are expected Monday evening
into the overnight hours, with the chance for a wetting rain
peaking along and east of the Mississippi River.
Confidence remains high in another round of wetting rain
Wednesday night through Friday, with the Ozarks having up to a
60% of receiving at least an inch of rain.
MOZ072-073-083-084-099-171000-
Crawford MO-Washington MO-Dent MO-Iron MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Potosi/Salem Ranger District and Salem
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 37 (-7) 60 (-3) 46 75
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-24) 25 (+6) 100 51
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 3-7 G20 SW 3-7 G18
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 6-10 G23 SE 5-9 G24 W 3-7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
1700ft mixing temp 56 71
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 280 1870 430 3810
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 3 SE 8 S 7 W 5
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 7 SE 18 S 15 W 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 0 6840 10 8540
Poor Fair Poor Good
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around
70. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
MOZ074-075-085-171000-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Madison MO-
Including the cities of Farmington and Fredericktown Ranger
District
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 60 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50 20
Temp (24h trend) 35 (-10) 60 (-1) 46 75
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-16) 26 (+5) 92 54
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 3-7 G15 SW 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 6-10 G20 SE 5-9 G21 SW 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02
Precip Duration 1 5 1
1700ft mixing temp 57 69
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 270 1960 450 3090
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 4 SE 7 S 7 W 5
Transport Wnd (mph) E 8 SE 15 S 16 W 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 0 5880 150 7480
Poor Marginal Poor Fair
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around
70. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
MOZ041-047>050-171000-
Boone MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Cedar Creek Ranger District,
Jefferson City, and Fulton
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 36 (-5) 60 (+1) 46 72
RH % (24h trend) 49 (-21) 26 (+5) 99 50
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 6-10 G20 SW 4-8 G16
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 8-12 G23 SE 7-11 G22 W 5-9 G16
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
1700ft mixing temp 57 66
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 290 1930 410 3010
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 3 SE 10 S 4 NW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 7 SE 22 S 9 NW 9
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 100 8570 340 5670
Poor Good Poor Marginal
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
MOZ051-059-060-062-065-171000-
Montgomery MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Franklin MO-Jefferson MO-
Including the cities of Washington, Union, and Sullivan
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 60 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 35 (-7) 60 (+1) 46 74
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-16) 25 (+5) 98 52
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 4-8 G18 S 3-7 G16
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 7-11 G20 SE 5-9 G21 W 4-8 G16
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01
Precip Duration 0 6 1
1700ft mixing temp 57 70
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 290 2060 450 3110
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 3 SE 8 S 5 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 6 SE 18 S 10 NW 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 60 6920 360 7080
Poor Fair Poor Fair
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
MOZ061-063-064-171000-
Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles and Saint Louis
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50 0
Temp (24h trend) 35 (-8) 59 (0) 46 72
RH % (24h trend) 51 (-11) 25 (+5) 93 55
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 4-8 G16 S 4-8
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 7-11 G20 SE 6-10 G19 W 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01
Precip Duration 6 1
1700ft mixing temp 56 71
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 290 2180 590 2440
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 2 SE 8 S 5 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) E 5 SE 18 S 10 NW 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 100 6170 530 4600
Poor Fair Poor Marginal
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
ILZ064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-171000-
Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-
Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-
Including the cities of Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, Chester,
Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, and Cahokia
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 80 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50 0
Temp (24h trend) 33 (-10) 60 (+1) 44 72
RH % (24h trend) 58 (-10) 24 (+4) 91 61
Wind 20ft AM(mph) E 3-7 S 6-10 G15
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 6-10 G17 SE 6-10 G19 SW 5-9 G15
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04
Precip Duration 9 2
1700ft mixing temp 56 69
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 300 2230 400 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 3 SE 6 SE 6 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 6 SE 14 SE 14 NW 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 80 6100 550 5260
Poor Fair Poor Marginal
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-042-052-171000-
Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-
Audrain MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Bowling Green, and Mexico
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 35 (-2) 57 (+1) 44 68
RH % (24h trend) 50 (-16) 23 (+4) 95 56
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 5-9 G20 S 3-7
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 9-13 G22 SE 7-11 G22 NW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00
Precip Duration 6
1700ft mixing temp 56 60
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 340 2060 450 2490
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 3 SE 9 SE 4 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) N 7 SE 21 SE 9 N 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 50 7330 350 4660
Poor Fair Poor Marginal
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around
60. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs around 60. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower
50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
ILZ095>098-171000-
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, and Pittsfield
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 33 (-4) 57 (+1) 44 66
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-11) 21 (+3) 89 60
Wind 20ft AM(mph) SE 4-8 G17 SE 4-8 G15
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 8-12 G20 SE 8-12 G22 NE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.01
Precip Duration 6 1
1700ft mixing temp 55 60
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 310 2220 530 2070
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 3 SE 8 SE 5 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) N 7 SE 18 SE 12 N 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 70 6790 460 4410
Poor Fair Poor Poor
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ058>060-099-171000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Jersey IL-
Including the city of Litchfield
319 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 80 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 31 (-7) 57 (+1) 43 68
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-10) 23 (+6) 85 53
Wind 20ft AM(mph) E 3-7 G15 SE 5-9 G15
Wind 20ft PM(mph) lgt/var SE 7-11 G19 SE 7-11 G20 N 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.01
Precip Duration 9 2
1700ft mixing temp 54 66
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 320 2200 450 2170
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 3 SE 7 SE 7 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 7 SE 16 SE 16 NW 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 40 6240 470 4490
Poor Fair Poor Poor
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$