Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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FNUS73 KLSX 291138
FWSLSX

Spot Forecast for Magnolia/Horton Farm...Missouri Department of Conservation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
638 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on September 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Light south winds will prevail today. Relative humidity is expected to drop
to between 30 and 35 percent this afternoon with a high temperature in the mid
80s.  There is a strong temperature inversion in place this morning which will
likely not mix above 1700 feet until around 11 AM.  The mixing height is
expected to top out just above 5000 feet this afternoon, but light winds in
the mixed layer will marginal ventilation rates at best.  However, the mixed layer
is forecast to be unstable this afternoon which should help with ventilation.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........71 at ignition...Max 83.
RH..................55 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light south wind.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 4 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise max 5200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1600 m/s-m/ at ignition. Max...marginal
                    /5440 m/s-m/.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky (%).........1   2   2   6   10  19  14  19  14  28  60  75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  75  79  81  82  83  83  82  79  75  72  69
RH..............55  46  41  37  35  33  33  35  41  46  51  61
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.9   7   8   8   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   3   4   4               4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.7 4.3 4.8 5.1 5.2 4.9 4.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   9   8   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  19  26  29  31  31  35  28  5   3   3   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 62.
RH..................Max 65 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light southeast wind.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (440 m/s-m).

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming mostly
                    sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 89.
RH..................Min 41 percent.
Eye level winds.....South wind around 4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (550 m/s-m) early in the morning
                    increasing to good max (11610 m/s-m) in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Carney
Requested by...Anthony B King
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622736.0/LSX
.DELDT 09/29/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0