Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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Spot Forecast for ICC Entrance Prairie...St. Charles County Parks and Recreation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
740 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on August 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will be light and variable today, generally from the southwest
this morning, and turning to the south then southeast to east
during the afternoon.  Wind speeds are expected to be 5 mph or below.
There is a strong temperature inversion in place over the area this
morning.  The mixing height at 1000 AM is forecast to be below 1000
feet.  However the inversion should break between 1000 and 1100 AM
this morning and the mixing height should rise quickly to 3000-4000
feet, topping out over 6000 feet this afternoon.  High low level
instability should allow smoke to rise quickly after the inversion
breaks, however smoke dispersal will be poor to fair at best due
to weak transport winds through the mixed layer.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........74 at ignition...Max 83.
RH..................62 percent at ignition...Min 43 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light and variable.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 3 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise max 6600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1560 m/s-m/ at ignition. Max...fair /5990
                    m/s-m/.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
Sky (%).........26     40     54     21     8      13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............74     80     82     82     81     73
RH..............62     49     44     44     46     62
20 ft wind......SW 3   SW 3   S 3    S 3    SE 3   SE 2
20 ft wind gust.7      6      6      5      4      4
Eye level wind..SW 1   SW 1   S 1    S 1    SE 1   SE 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.3      3      3      2      2      2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7    4.4    6.0    6.6    4.1    0.6
Transport wind..SW 7   S 8    S 7    S 6    S 5    SW 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10     31     36     33     16     2
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...Carney
Requested by...Chuck Collins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520889.0/LSX
.DELDT 08/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0