238
FXUS64 KLUB 031112
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
512 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 511 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- The rest of the week will be mostly dry with high temperatures
  generally in the 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1017 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

The upper low will exit to the east of the FA shortly after
midnight. This low has pushed a cold front through the FA and will
help to cool overnight lows into the 40s on the Caprock and the
low/mid 50s off the Caprock. Winds have decreased temporarily across
the FA, but they will increase to 20-25 mph sustained out of the
north to northwest as a post-frontal surface trough moves from the
Panhandle into the South Plains. Winds will remain elevated
through late morning to early afternoon before decreasing to 10-15
mph. Persistent north winds will keep afternoon highs in the low
60s. A quieter afternoon and evening will be in store as surface
high pressure settles over the region and upper flow becomes more
zonal early Wednesday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 1017 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

The rest of the week and the upcoming weekend should feature
benign fall weather. An upper low will track across the TX
Panhandle Thurs AM, resulting in a weak sfc low (MSLP around
1008mb) bringing a renewed push of northerly winds in its wake.
Precip chances with this wave appear minimal, owing to limited
moisture return ahead of it. Forecast soundings show a brief
window early Thurs AM where there may be sufficient saturation for
light rain, but outside of that the soundings appear too dry.
Ensemble guidance is not bullish about the rain chances, keeping
them below mentionable levels for now. High temps during the long
term forecast period will generally be a tad below normal, in the
upper 50s to mid 60s, with the exception of Wednesday which looks
a bit warmer relative to Thurs- Sun. Low temps will be near
normal, ranging from the upper 30s to mid 40s. A hard freeze still
appears unlikely through at least the upcoming weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 511 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

NNW winds will remain relatively strong today with gusts near 30
kt expected through this afternoon at all TAF sites. VFR will
prevail otherwise.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...30