600
FXUS64 KLUB 081221 CCA
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
721 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 604 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

 - Generally hot and dry this week with low storm chances.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 1042 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Breezy southerly winds persisting overnight will bring very mild
lows in the mid 60s to low 70s. An upper ridge will continue to
build Monday and persistent southerly flow will bring highs even a
couple degrees hotter than Sunday into the mid-to-upper 90s. A
dryline looks to develop during the afternoon hours generally west
of I-27. Although there is a notable shortwave propagating around
the aforementioned ridge, much of that forcing will remain well off
the west over New Mexico. Nonetheless CAM do show convective
initiation along the line and there will certainly be enough
instability. Should any storm form, the overall severe weather
threat is low. Southerly winds will persist overnight and as such
Tuesday morning lows will be similar to that of Monday. A broad
upper trough will track eastward across the Intermountain West
through the day Tuesday. Hot and dry conditions should persist
across the entire area through the daytime hours as the ridge will
remain the primary large-scale influence. However as the trough axis
continues to shift eastward through the day, the associated forcing
may move far enough south to trigger some thunderstorm development,
mainly over the far southern Panhandle and northern South/Rolling
Plains. A few storms may become severe, but again the overall threat
remains low.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1042 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Any lingering storms should taper off after sunset on Tuesday with a
more upper zonal flow developing Wednesday. Again, low chances of
storms remain during later in the evening with shortwaves moving
across the area. Another slightly stronger wave from a secondary
trough will move through Thursday evening and storm chances may be
slightly higher. More potent waves look to potentially develop this
weekend but it remains too early too determine specifics. Otherwise,
expect mainly hot and dry conditions with breezy southerly
winds through the week and highs well into the 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail. Southerly winds will ramp up early
this afternoon and prevail through the day. Winds should weaken
later this evening.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...10