539
FXUS64 KLUB 071105
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
605 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 603 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

 - Showers and thunderstorms through the early morning hours.

 - Generally hot and dry through the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 1049 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Showers and thunderstorms will continue tracking across portions of
the area for the next few hours, with brief strong winds possible.
Skies will gradually clear thereafter through the overnight with
morning lows falling into the upper 50s to mid 60s. An upper ridge
will begin building on Sunday leading to warming temperatures into
the mid 90s. The HRRR continues to indicated developing convection
over the southern South Plains by late afternoon. However, the
atmosphere will be capped due to the aforementioned ridge and upper
flow will be very weak. Thus PoPs have been capped at 20%. The upper
ridge continues to build into Monday with increased upper heights
bringing even warmer temperatures near triple-digits.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1049 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

A broad upper trough will move into the Intermountain West on
Tuesday. The ridge still has the majority of the influence through
the day with hot and dry conditions persisting, however if the base
of the trough tracks far enough south, it may bring enough forcing
to bring some brief showers and thunderstorms over the far southern
Panhandle and northern South Plains. In any case, severe weather
remains unlikely. The trough will become more shallow is it tracks
over the Great Plains and flow over our area will become very zonal
through Friday. A few embedded shortwaves may lead to additional
thunderstorm development during the afternoon/evening, however
chances remain quite low overall. More potent shortwaves look to
move through Friday and Saturday potentially leading to a more
active pattern over that time frame.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 603 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Patchy fog is currently impacting KCDS. It is expected to clear in
the next hour. Once the fog clears, VFR conditions will prevail at
all three TAF sites. Early this afternoon, winds will shift to the
southwest and ramp up. By the evening and overnight hours, winds
will shift to the south, but remain breezy.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...10