379
FNUS71 KLWX 121251
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for CS Farm RX...VDOF
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
751 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on November 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

As winds shift to west-southwesterly, a warm up ensues today which
brings temperatures to near average for mid-November. Winds remain
elevated today with gusts to around 25 to 35 mph, with high
elevation winds into the 40 to 50 mph range.

A dry clipper-like system races across the area today before
exiting offshore tonight. This leads to additional breezy winds
into Thursday. High pressure returns by Friday into the first half
of the weekend. A frontal system approaches the area by Sunday
which may bring a few chances for rain. However, the opportunity
for wetting rains looks low at this time.

Daytime relative humidities will largely range from 25 to 35
percent through Friday. The dry gusty winds should lead to further
drying of area fuels. Given ongoing drought conditions, some
uptick in fire weather concerns loom ahead. For the overnight
hours, recoveries improve relative to previous days.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    8 to 12 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph increasing to northwest 18
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon,
                    then decreasing to around 15 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (108400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to good (37500 knot-ft)
                    early in the morning increasing to excellent
                    (111500 knot-ft) in the afternoon in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  22  16  15  13  12  11  11  10  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............40  46  52  56  58  58  59  59  58  54
RH..............67  55  46  40  36  34  33  32  33  38
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  12  12  12  10  10  8
20 FT wind gust.12  14  16  18  20  20  20  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 3.2 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.1 5.0 4.6 4.0 2.9
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  20  24  24  25  25  24  22  18  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  54  88  96  108 112 105 88  64  38
Ventrate Cat....PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD GD  GD  PR

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  14  17  21  24  24  25  25  27  29  31  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  46  43  41  40  39  38  38  37  36  36  35
RH..............42  49  55  59  62  64  67  67  70  69  69  72
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.13  12  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  5   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   5
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (64500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  31  29  27  25  24  22  21  19  17  15  16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............34  35  40  46  52  56  60  62  63  63  62  58
RH..............75  72  64  55  46  40  35  31  30  31  32  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.3 4.0 4.3 3.8 3.0 2.1 1.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   10  13  15  16  17  16  13  10  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   5   9   16  27  43  56  65  54  33  19  12
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  FR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Witt
Requested by...Tyler Hill
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525657.0/LWX
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tyler.hill@dof.virginia.gov