Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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Spot Forecast for Catoctin Colorfest...Frederick County DEP
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1106 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 EDT on October 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A coastal low pressure will develop along the southeast U.S.
coast this weekend, then lift north toward the Delmarva early next
week. This system is likely to bring rain and breezy to windy
conditions tonight through Monday. Dry conditions return with
high pressure by the middle of next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated showers late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  90  90  91  92
Weather cov.....            ISO ISO
Weather type....            RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   10
Temp............62  65  66  67  66
RH..............65  65  63  63  68
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   5   5
Surface wnd gst.9   10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    early in the evening, then chance of rain early
                    in the evening. Rain likely after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming northeast
                    5 to 8 mph with gusts to around 22 mph in the
                    late evening and overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  89  87  90  92  92  95  96  95  94  93  88
Weather cov.....SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  40  40  40  40  50  50  40  60  70  70
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............66  63  60  59  59  59  59  59  59  59  59  59
RH..............70  81  90  96  96  96  96  96  96  96  96  96
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.5   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8
Surface wnd gst.10  10  10  12  12  13  13  14  15  17  20  22

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain likely early in
                    the morning, then rain early in the morning.
                    Rain likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........90 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94  92  93  94  93  91  92  92  93  93  93  93
Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).70  70  80  80  80  80  80  80  60  60  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............57  58  58  58  59  60  61  61  62  62  61  61
RH..............100 96  96  100 100 96  93  93  90  90  90  90
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.9   9   10  10  12  12  12  13  13  13  14  14
Surface wnd gst.22  23  23  23  24  24  24  25  25  25  25  25

$$
Forecaster...Witt
Requested by...Clayton Wenner
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2523430.0/LWX
.DELDT 10/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cwenner@frederickcountymd.gov