Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
222
FNUS71 KLWX 161430
FWSLWX
Spot Forecast for Mountain View Rd Fire...Office of Emergency Management & Homeland
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
930 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 EST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Very gusty winds are expected for much of the area today. Frequent
gusts of 45 to 50 mph are expected across the DC/Baltimore metros and
central MD. Combined with strong dry air advection, minimum relative
humidity values are expected to fall to critical ranges this afternoon. Values
of 30 to 35 percent are expected across central MD.
RH recoveries will be poor tonight. Monday will be a bit drier,
but also a bit less windy. However, near critical fire weather conditions
are possible once again.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Northwest winds 23 to 28 mph with gusts
to around 47 mph.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 38 to 43 mph decreasing to around 25
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (163700 knot-ft) decreasing to fair
(26000 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Breezy. Northwest winds 14 to 17 mph with gusts
to around 28 mph.
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27 14 9 8 8 11 14 9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............55 54 53 52 51 50 49 46
RH..............45 41 38 36 36 36 36 38
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..23 26 26 28 28 28 25 24
20 FT wind gust.38 43 44 44 46 47 45 43
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.14 16 16 17 17 17 15 14
Eye lvl wnd gst.23 26 26 26 28 28 27 26
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 5.3 5.5 5.9 6.1 5.9 5.5 1.2
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.38 40 41 41 43 43 40 25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..164 187 198 211 225 220 193 26
Ventrate Cat....EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 14 to 23 mph with gusts to
around 40 mph shifting to the west around 13
mph with gusts to around 24 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (25900 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (6800 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 8 to 14 mph with gusts to
around 24 mph shifting to the west around 8 mph
with gusts to around 14 mph overnight.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........12 4 9 8 12 10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............43 40 38 37 37 36
RH..............43 50 54 56 56 56
20 ft wind......NW 23 NW 18 W 15 W 13 W 13 W 13
20 ft wind gust.40 36 29 24 23 24
Eye level wind..NW 14 NW 11 W 9 W 8 W 8 W 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.24 22 17 14 14 14
Mix hgt (ft)....1300 600 500 600 400 600
Transport wind..NW 23 NW 24 NW 21 NW 20 NW 20 NW 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..26 12 9 9 7 9
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
$$
Forecaster...Rosa
Requested by...Matt Miziorko
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526036.0/LWX
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Matthias.Miziorko@montgomerycountymd.gov