573
FNUS71 KLWX 152245
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for Maryland Five Star Horse Show...MDEM
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
645 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Cool Canadian high pressure will build over the area Thursday and
Friday before shifting offshore Saturday. Dry conditions will
prevail with sunny to mostly sunny skies expected. Some patchy frost
is possible Friday morning over the event location.

Winds will remain the primary concern for the event location
Thursday. North to northwesterly winds will gusts up to 25 mph
at times before diminishing Thursday night into Friday as high pressure
settles overhead.

North to northwesterly winds will drive dry air into the region yielding an
elevated fire weather concern Thursday afternoon. Minimum RH values
will fall into the 30 to 40 percent range Thursday and Friday afternoon.
The strongest winds may offset the lowest humidity values which may inhibit
the fire weather concern. Also fuel moistures may remain up helping this notion
as well.

Highs Thursday will push into the low 60s with lows Thursday night falling
into the upper 30s. Highs Friday will remain in the low 60s although winds
will lighten out of the northwest at less than 15 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent shading).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 8 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   0   0   2   3   3   2   2   1   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  45  50  53  55  57  58  59  60  57
RH..............74  69  59  51  45  42  38  37  37  42
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW
Surface wnd spd.8   10  12  13  13  13  13  15  14  13
Surface wnd gst.16  20  22  23  23  23  24  24  24  24

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent shading).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 6 to 14 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   0   0   1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  53  49  47  46  45  44  43  42  41  40  40
RH..............42  46  55  57  58  57  61  63  65  67  69  69
Surface wnd dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.14  12  8   8   8   7   8   7   6   7   7   7
Surface wnd gst.23  21  17  16  16  15  14  13  13  13  14  14

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent shading).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Occasional gusts
                    up to 15 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   3   2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............39  38  40  42  46  51  54  57  58  60  61  60
RH..............74  75  71  66  59  53  48  45  44  42  42  44
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.7   7   7   7   8   9   9   8   8   8   7   6
Surface wnd gst.14  14  14  15  15  16  16  16  15  15  14  13

$$
Forecaster...Taylor
Requested by...Sarah Mikkelsen
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2523703.0/LWX
.DELDT 10/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sarah.mikkelsen@maryland.gov