Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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Spot Forecast for Nature Works_GlenRX...Nature Works
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
104 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on October 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

In the wake of a strong cold front, tonight is expected to be
several degrees colder than we saw last night, pushing lows
into the low to mid 30s early Friday morning. Frost is likely
to develop in the hours leading up to sunrise, before quickly
melting as the sun comes up.

Following the morning frost, expect a quiet day on Friday, with
winds gusting out of the southeast around 15 mph during the
day. Minimum RH values only drop to around 50 percent during the
afternoon hours. Skies will be mostly sunny, with only about 10
percent sky cover or so.

Temperatures will be much warmer overnight Friday into Saturday
morning. This means no frost, but RH recoveries are still going
to be around 90 to 95 percent. Winds will be light out of the
SE for much of the night before shifting out of the N during the
overnight hours into Saturday morning as an area of low pressure
begins to develop to our south. Some rain may develop as early
as Saturday ahead of this developing low, but best chances come
late Saturday into Sunday.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
                    7 to 10 mph with gusts to 16 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (46800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   9   11  15  28  12  21  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  58  61  62  63  64  65  63
RH..............69  62  58  56  56  54  52  58
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   8   8   8   9   9   10  9
20 FT wind gust.12  14  14  15  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.8 3.9 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.1
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   9   9   10  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11  23  31  36  38  44  47  41
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 12 mph shifting to the east
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........33     36     34     45     55     56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............62     55     52     50     50     50
RH..............60     80     89     95     95     93
20 ft wind......SE 8   SE 7   SE 5   SE 5   SE 3   NE 3
20 ft wind gust.15     13     10     8      6      7
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   500    400    600    400    300
Transport wind..S 12   SE 9   S 9    SE 8   SE 5   E 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..30     4      3      4      2      1
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph in the
                    morning, then shifting to the east 7 to 10 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (29300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........60        71        84        86
Weather cov.....          S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         20        20        40
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............49        53        62        66
RH..............96        93        81        78
20 FT wind......N 3G8     N 6G9     NE 8G14   E 10G17
Mix hgt (ft)....300       700       2400      3000
Transport wind..E 5       NE 6      E 10      E 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1         4         21        27
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...Ledbetter
Requested by...james Remuzzi
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523241.0/LWX
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james@natureworksllc.net