281
FXUS64 KLZK 092321 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
621 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 620 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

-Greater potential for seeing heat index values over 105 are
 expected throughout the upcoming week

-Heat headlines will likely be needed for multiple days

-Mainly dry conditions expected the next several days as an upper
 level ridge builds across the region

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 150 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Fairly quiet conditions are ongoing across the CWA early this Sun
morning as all precip ended Sat evening. The weak upper wave that
was meandering over AR on Sat has shifted east...and weakened
further. However...the upper energy/weak disturbance will still be
overhead across portions of the region...which could still allow for
some afternoon isolated convection to develop this Sun. Looks like
best potential for seeing any isolated afternoon convection will be
across SERN sections. This may also be the case on Mon afternoon as
well...but location may be a bit more difficult to pinpoint.

The lesser cloud cover and lower precip chances will allow for more
areas to see temps back in the 90s to around 100 this Sun afternoon.
Heat index values will approach Heat Adv levels for some areas...but
today`s potential for exceeding 105 heat index is borderline. As a
result...not heat headlines are expected for this Sun afternoon.
This may not be the case leading into Mon however...with more areas
potentially exceeding 105 for heat index. This trend looks to
continue into much of the upcoming week...with heat headlines likely
for at least some portion of the CWA throughout the week.

Upper level ridging will increase across the region throughout the
upcoming week and possibly next weekend. This will tend to lower
POPs for any convection...even diurnally driven convection. Temps
will rise to around or above normal for much of the next several
days as a result.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

VFR conditions are expected to persist across the area through the
period. Winds will be light/variable overnight, becoming SW-S
through the day on Monday at less than 10 kts. Some gusts above 15
kts possible Monday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     74  97  76  97 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         73  95  74  95 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       74  95  75  96 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    74  96  75  96 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  76  97  77  97 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     75  95  76  96 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      71  94  73  94 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  73  94  74  95 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        74  95  76  97 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     74  95  75  95 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         74  96  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      75  96  77  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Monday for ARZ006>008-
015>017-025-031>034-039-043>047-055>057-064-065-121-122-130.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...62
LONG TERM....62
AVIATION...67