Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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356 FXUS64 KLZK 140750 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 250 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026 ...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 159 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026 -Hot conditions will be the primary story through the weekend and into much of next week. -Additional heat headlines are highly likely into early next week if ensemble and deterministic model trends continue. -Little to no chances for precipitation expected through this week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 159 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026 High pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern through the rest of this week and into the weekend. While some low-end rain chances are possible underneath the ridge, it is not all that likely as the ridge centers itself over the state. With this pattern change, dangerously hot temperatures are expected through the weekend as temperatures soar to above average. Many locations will likely see temperatures rise to near 100 degrees or just above with heat index values slightly higher. An extreme heat warning and heat advisories are in effect through Sunday. Remember that if need to be outside for any reason, make sure to take plenty of breaks and find shade to rest in. Also be sure to drink plenty of water and wear sunscreen. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1156 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026 Expect VFR flight category for all sites during the entire forecast period of early Friday morning through early Saturday morning. The TAF sites of KHRO, KHOT, and KADF will experience a small window of low level wind shear early Friday morning prior to sunrise. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 103 78 104 79 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 99 75 99 76 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 99 77 99 78 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 100 76 100 77 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 103 78 103 80 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 100 77 101 78 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 98 74 98 76 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 99 75 100 76 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 102 77 103 78 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 100 76 100 77 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 103 76 103 78 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 103 76 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 102 77 103 78 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Sunday for ARZ004-005-014-024-031- 039-042-043-052>056-062>069-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140- 141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341. Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Sunday for ARZ006>008- 015>017-025-032>034-044>047-057. && $$ DISCUSSION...73 AVIATION...74