Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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672
FXUS64 KLZK 180024
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
Issued by National Weather Service Memphis TN
724 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 239 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Latest observations indicate scattered convection across
mainly central sections of the forecast area.
Very unstable conditions were noted along the interstate 40
corridor, with 3000 j/kg MLCAPE noted. Focus for convective
development is rather diffuse; expect this activity to continue
through the peak diurnal insolation cycle.

A cold front will approach from the northwest on Wednesday. This
feature will provide a more focused convective event, to affect
the forecast area from northwest to southeast, from the afternoon
hours through late Wednesday night. Severe thunderstorms

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 239 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

The upper level flow over North America will amplify during this
period. By the end of this period, an axis of upper level high
pressure will stretch from the central Texas to New England. Dry
conditions with above normal temperatures will prevail during this
forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 716 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

VFR conds are expected overnight with SHRA/TSRA arriving across
Nrn terminals between 08/10z Wed, spreading SE to include Cntrl
sites near 11/12z Wed. VFR conds are anticipated outside of TSRA
activity where VIS`bys may be reduced to MVFR/IFR briefly.
Afternoon scattered SHRA/TSRA are possible across Cntrl and Nrn
TAF sites. Winds will be S/SW at around 10 kts or less both
overnight and on Wed.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     91  74  91  71 /  20  20  50  80
Camden AR         92  74  93  72 /  20  20  10  50
Harrison AR       90  72  87  67 /  20  20  60  50
Hot Springs AR    92  74  92  71 /  20  20  20  60
Little Rock   AR  91  75  92  72 /  20  20  20  70
Monticello AR     90  75  93  74 /  40  20  10  50
Mount Ida AR      92  74  90  71 /  20  20  20  60
Mountain Home AR  90  73  88  68 /  20  20  70  60
Newport AR        91  75  92  72 /  20  20  30  70
Pine Bluff AR     91  75  93  73 /  20  20  10  60
Russellville AR   93  74  90  70 /  20  20  40  60
Searcy AR         91  74  92  71 /  20  20  30  70
Stuttgart AR      90  75  91  73 /  20  20  10  70

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70