Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
026 FXUS64 KLZK 111736 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1236 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 158 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 -Pleasant fall-like conditions are expected to persist through the weekend. -Seasonably warm temperatures will return to the forecast area by the new work week, with dry, settled, and warm conditions prevailing. -Unsettled weather, including rain and thunderstorm chances appear possible across the region by late next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 158 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Thru this weekend, pleasantly cool "fall-like" mrngs are expected acrs the FA, w/ seasonably warm afternoon temperatures prevailing. Mean H500 ridging is expected to persist acrs the Cntrl US thru much of next week, which wl support daily temps trending upwards and staying seasonably warm, w/ no appreciable rain chances thru the fcst PD. Of note towards the end of next week, long-term deterministic and ensemble-mean H500 and sfc progs are beginning to advertise a pattern shift towards more widespread rain chances for much of the Natural State. Wl continue to monitor for hazardous wx potential, but for now, uncertainties and variability remain too large for any concrete details. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Mostly clear skies throughout the period, with some lingering lower cigs across northern Arkansas dissipating in the next hour or so. Winds will remain primarily light and variable with a favor towards the east to northeast direction. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 53 83 54 85 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 56 85 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 55 81 58 83 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 57 85 57 87 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 58 83 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 57 86 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 57 86 57 87 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 54 82 57 84 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 54 83 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 56 84 56 86 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 58 85 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 54 83 55 85 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 56 83 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...72 AVIATION...77