989
FXUS64 KLZK 120504
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1204 AM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 238 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

-Hot conditions will be the primary story for the next week or so
 as heat headlines are now in effect through Friday

-Little to no chances for precipitation expected through this week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 238 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

Little change to the weather outlook noted through the next week.
Heat Advisories were extended (expanded) in time (area) through
Friday, with hot conditions warranting further extensions in time
through the weekend in future forecast cycles. We will continue
to monitor the need for upgrading Advisories to Extreme Heat
Warnings, especially for the lower elevations across the state
(i.e. river valleys).

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

A prolonged stretch of well above normal conditions expected over the
next week or so...with little chances for rainfall or significant
relief expected...

Upper level ridging will continue expanding over the region by the
middle part of the week...with the center of the near 600dm 500 mb
ridge nearly directly above the state by the weekend. This will keep
POPs nearly zero...but more importantly...allow temps to warm into
the upper 90s to well over 100 deg for most areas. In fact...many
areas may see several days with temps the warmest so far this year.
The only slight good news is that without any addition precip and
with SWRLY SFC winds each afternoon...dewpts may actually drop some
each day. Even so...heat index values will likely remain at or above
Heat Adv levels...with some areas maybe needing Extreme Heat Warning
headlines at some point.

With drying conditions possible each afternoon as dewpts mix
out...this may increase the overall wildfire threat at temps sore
well above normal. This will also need to be watched in the next
week or so...with areas that saw the locally heavy rainfall recently
being the exception.

Some guidance is suggests the center of the upper ridge shifting
back to the west early next week...which could bring some slight
relief from the persistent heat. There may be even a weak front
attempt to drop south into the state next week. However...this
potential relief is at least a week out...and the confidence of
any significant cooling or precip chances is very low at this
time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the entire period of the forecast
from early Wednesday morning through early Thursday morning across
all sites. The TAF sites of KHRO, KHOT, KADF, KLIT, KPBF, and KLLQ
will experience surface winds which will gust on Wednesday afternoon
in excess of near 20 knots before relaxing and losing their gusting
condition into Wednesday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR    100  79 100  79 /  10   0   0   0
Camden AR         96  76  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       97  78  97  77 /  10   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    98  77  98  77 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  99  80 100  80 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     98  79  99  78 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      96  75  96  75 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  97  77  97  76 /  10   0   0   0
Newport AR        99  79 100  79 /  10  10   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     97  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR  100  78 101  77 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR        100  78 100  78 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      99  79 100  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT Friday for
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74