820
FXUS64 KLZK 301021
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
521 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 207 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026

-High temperatures across Arkansas will begin to tick upward today
 into the mid 90s to reaching/exceeding the century mark (100 to
 103 degrees) in a few locations

-The trend of the week ahead will be hot and dry conditions as temperatures
 are expected to top out in the upper 90s and triple digits in a
 few locations (100 to 104 degrees) with no chances for rain in
 the near future

-Heat products will likely be needed as soon as Monday with
 forecasted heat index values to peak between 105 and 109 across a
 large part of Arkansas

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 207 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026

The center of an upper lvl ridge is progged to be cemented directly
over the state of Arkansas throughout the next week before the upper
lvl feature begins to slowly retrograde westward over the Southern
Plains region of the CONUS and coerce northwesterly flow over the
state of Arkansas into late next weekend. At the sfc, a regional
area of high pressure across the Mid-Atlantic region of the CONUS
will promote the presence of southerly winds overall at the surface
which will meander from south-southwesterly to southerly to out of
the south-southeast during the forecast period allowing dewpoint
temperatures across the state in the upper 60s to mid 70s with the
advection of gulf moisture by mid-week which will lead to dangerous
heat index values.

Expect hot and dry conditions to be the trend over the next several
days across the Natural State. Heat products will likely be needed
by Monday as forecast heat index values and NWS Heat Risk both
suggest environments across Arkansas supportive of Heat Advisory and
Extreme Heat Warning criteria.

A glimmer of relief does appear just beyond the end of the forecast
period or next Sunday going into next Monday (roughly 7-8 days from
now). The upper lvl ridge slowly slides westward and positions
northwesterly flow over Arkansas which will support an increase of
POP chances across the state; however, confidence in this solution
is low because it is a week in advance, but the signal does exist.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026

Expect VFR flight category for all terminals during the forecast
period from Sunday morning through Monday morning. No degradation
of VSBY or CIGS are expected over the period which will be marred by
hot and dry conditions across the state.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     98  73 101  75 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         98  72  98  73 /   0   0  10   0
Harrison AR       95  72  97  73 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    99  73 100  75 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR 100  74 100  77 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     97  74  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      98  69 100  71 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  95  70  98  72 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        97  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     97  73  98  74 /   0   0  10   0
Russellville AR   99  72 101  75 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         97  72  98  73 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      97  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74