765
FXUS64 KLZK 132252
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
552 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Band 1 and 2 GOES satellite imagery continues to clearly reveal the
circulation of upper low, now centered over south central Missouri.
Convection, generally weak, continues to be associated with this
circulation. The character of the atmosphere across the forecast
area is reflected by precipitable water values in the 90th
percentile of climatological values. Any convection that forms will
be efficient rainfall producers.

The upper low will continue slowly eastward during the rest of this
period. A northwest flow will develop, and small scale disturbances
will move through this flow, promoting additional, mainly weak
convection.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

During the second half of this forecast period, upper level high
pressure will build from the southern rockies into the central
plains.  Surface high pressure will build westward along the gulf
coast. Overall precipitation chances will decrease accordingly.
Above normal afternoon temperatures are expected by the end of the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 552 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Central sections of the forecast area will see the best coverage of
evening TSRA per latest CAM guidance. Overall convective coverage
Saturday afternoon will be less than that of today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     68  88  70  88 /  80  30  10  30
Camden AR         70  90  72  90 /  40  50  30  60
Harrison AR       65  85  67  83 /  50  20  10  40
Hot Springs AR    69  90  72  90 /  50  50  20  40
Little Rock   AR  70  88  73  88 /  70  60  10  30
Monticello AR     72  90  73  89 /  50  60  40  70
Mount Ida AR      69  89  71  89 /  50  50  20  40
Mountain Home AR  65  85  68  85 /  80  20  10  30
Newport AR        70  88  72  89 /  70  40  10  20
Pine Bluff AR     71  89  73  89 /  60  70  30  50
Russellville AR   68  88  72  88 /  60  40  10  30
Searcy AR         68  88  71  87 /  60  40  10  20
Stuttgart AR      72  88  74  89 /  70  60  20  40

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55