275
FXUS64 KLZK 091019 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
519 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 150 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

-Isolated/widely scattered showers and thunderstorms possible again
this Sunday afternoon...with best potential for seeing rainfall
across southeast sections

-Increasing heat index values will be seen today...but most areas
will be borderline with the 105 Heat Advisory levels

-More widespread potential for seeing heat index values over 105 are
expected throughout the upcoming week...with heat headlines likely
as a result

-Mainly dry conditions expected the next several days as an upper
 level ridge builds across the region

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 150 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Fairly quiet conditions are ongoing across the CWA early this Sun
morning as all precip ended Sat evening. The weak upper wave that
was meandering over AR on Sat has shifted east...and weakened
further. However...the upper energy/weak disturbance will still be
overhead across portions of the region...which could still allow for
some afternoon isolated convection to develop this Sun. Looks like
best potential for seeing any isolated afternoon convection will be
across SERN sections. This may also be the case on Mon afternoon as
well...but location may be a bit more difficult to pinpoint.

The lesser cloud cover and lower precip chances will allow for more
areas to see temps back in the 90s to around 100 this Sun afternoon.
Heat index values will approach Heat Adv levels for some areas...but
today`s potential for exceeding 105 heat index is borderline. As a
result...not heat headlines are expected for this Sun afternoon.
This may not be the case leading into Mon however...with more areas
potentially exceeding 105 for heat index. This trend looks to
continue into much of the upcoming week...with heat headlines likely
for at least some portion of the CWA throughout the week.

Upper level ridging will increase across the region throughout the
upcoming week and possibly next weekend. This will tend to lower
POPs for any convection...even diurnally driven convection. Temps
will rise to around or above normal for much of the next several
days as a result.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 518 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Some patchy fog may be seen this morning...but any fog should
dissipate shortly after sunrise. Most sites should remain dry
today...but some isolated convection could be seen into the early
evening hrs. The best potential for this convection will be across
SERN sections...with VCSH mentioned so far at LLQ.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     93  74  97  76 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         94  73  96  75 /  20   0   0   0
Harrison AR       94  74  95  75 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    95  74  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  95  75  96  77 /  10   0   0   0
Monticello AR     93  75  96  76 /  30  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      94  72  94  73 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  92  73  94  74 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        92  74  96  76 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     92  73  96  74 /  30   0   0   0
Russellville AR   96  75  98  76 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         92  73  95  75 /  10   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      92  75  95  77 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62