803
FXUS64 KLZK 291152
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
652 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 139 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

- A weak cold front will move through the state Wednesday, bringing
  rain chances, and much needed rainfall/temperature relief.

- Heat advisories will be warranted across parts of Arkansas on Wednesday,
  especially portions of the state ahead of an approaching cold
  front.

- More seasonable July/Aug temperatures are set to resume by the
  end of the work week into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 139 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

WEDNESDAY (TODAY) through THURSDAY:

A H500 ridge remains elongated over the Four Corners region of the
CONUS into the Southern Plains region of the CONUS. The ridge will
overall be undergoing a process of breaking down and a weak cold
front will move from northeast to southwest into the state of
Arkansas. The weak cold front will bring limited, but respectable
POP chances on both Wednesday and Thursday across the CWA.

A transition period of temperatures becoming suppressed to values
which are normal for this time of the year will be present in the
wake of this weak frontal boundary.

Unfortunately, heat products in the form of a Heat Advisory will be
warranted today across parts of the state, especially from along I-
40 and locations southward as the weak cold front and cooler airmass
behind the boundary will take time to make progress across the
state. Isolated showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible on
Wednesday along and ahead of this boundary, but organized severe
weather is not anticipated.

Into Thursday, more relief will be noted across Arkansas as the weak
cold front and resultant cooler airmass will be felt across the
state as the frontal boundary continues to push southwestward into
the ARK-LA-TEX region of the region. POP chances will once again be
elevated in locations along and ahead of this boundary. A return of
temperatures to normals for late July and early August will be noted
and heat products will likely not be warranted.

FRIDAY through TUESDAY:

Into the weekend a H500 trof will dig across the eastern half of the
CONUS and will result in the retrograde or movement westward of the
H500 center of the ridge away from Arkansas to become placed over
the Southwestern region of the CONUS. At the sfc, the result from
the upper lvl pattern will be the assist of a cold front progged to
move from west to east across the state on Saturday. The cold front
is progged to become a stationary boundary along the Mid-South
region of the CONUS, but remain in close enough proximity to keep
POP chances elevated over this period, especially across eastern
Arkansas. The airmass which will overtake Arkansas into the weekend
and beginning of the week will keep temperatures near normal across
the state for early August.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 651 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the timeframe of the forecast period
from Wednesday morning through Thursday morning. VCSH and VCTS will
be present around all terminals through the day as a cold front
moves southward overall across the state. VSBY may become degraded
briefly if any rain or storms impact a terminal directly, but will
be brief and holding in vicinity status given the isolated nature of
the activity.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     94  72  92  72 /  40  10   0  10
Camden AR         97  75  94  75 /  30  30  40  10
Harrison AR       92  72  90  73 /  40  20  30  20
Hot Springs AR    96  75  95  75 /  60  30  30  10
Little Rock   AR  95  75  94  75 /  60  20  10  10
Monticello AR     96  76  94  75 /  40  20  30  10
Mount Ida AR      95  74  93  73 /  60  30  40  10
Mountain Home AR  91  72  90  72 /  20  10  10  20
Newport AR        93  72  92  72 /  40  10   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     94  74  93  74 /  70  20  20  10
Russellville AR   96  75  95  75 /  60  30  30  10
Searcy AR         93  73  93  72 /  50  20   0   0
Stuttgart AR      94  75  93  74 /  60  10  10   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for
ARZ031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121-122-130-137-138-140-
141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74