624
FXUS64 KLZK 040800 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
300 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 259 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

- Scattered showers will linger across southeast Arkansas through
  Sunday evening as a stalled front begins to advance southward.

- Much cooler temperatures are forecast over the region into the
  new work week as drier air filters in behind a cold front.

- Dry and settled weather expected through the coming week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 259 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

Recent radar imgry depicted weak precipitation E-N/E acrs SWrn to
Cntrl AR. Expect this precip activity to continue over the Srn half
of the state thru early Sun aftn, along and ahead of a cdfrnt that
wl be moving SEwrd. Behind this cdfrnt, drier air wl filter into the
state, w/ lower stratus and drizzle giving way to clearing skies by
the late aftn to early evng timeframe.

Thru the coming week, intermittent H500 ridging remains progged to
build acrs the Wrn to Cntrl US. As drier air and sfc high pressure
settles over the Mid-South Sun night into Mon, dry and much more
seasonable condns are forecast. Mon thru at least Wed mornings, low
temps are expected to fall to the 40s to 50s,  w/ afternoon highs
topping out in the upper 70s to low 80s. Wed thru the remainder of
the week, sfc temps wl trend upwards again. Late in the PD, by next
weekend, some rain chances return to the forecast, possibly
associated w/ a tropical system developing in the Gulf, but
confidence remains low attm.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

Mixed batch of MVFR to VFR condns was noted acrs area terminals
near 04/06Z, w/ mainly mid to high clouds noted acrs the Nrn half
of the FA on recent night time sat imgry. Thru the overnight PD,
expect MVFR to intermittent IFR CIGs to persist over Srn AR and
local terminals, w/ VFR condns prevailing elsewhere. Sun mrng,
expect the aforementioned cloud deck to lift and clear fm Nrn to
Srn AR as drier air moves into the region. Nrly winds wl persist
thru the PD, w/ ocsnl gusty condns possible acrs SErn AR Sun aftn.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     81  54  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         82  57  84  53 /  10   0   0   0
Harrison AR       82  54  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    83  57  82  53 /  10   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  82  58  81  54 /  10   0   0   0
Monticello AR     81  60  83  55 /  20  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      82  55  81  50 /  10   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  82  54  79  48 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        80  55  78  49 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     81  55  82  51 /  10   0   0   0
Russellville AR   84  57  81  52 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         81  56  80  50 /  10   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      82  57  82  53 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...72
AVIATION...72