Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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913 FXUS64 KLZK 092335 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 535 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 - Some fog or freezing fog will be possible through the morning hours. - Increasing SW winds and warmer temperatures expected today. - A couple of cold fronts will move through this week with a stronger one bringing much colder temperatures for the weekend. - Mostly dry conditions are expected, but some light rain is possible on Saturday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Low clouds remain in place across portions of eastern and southern Arkansas this morning with mostly clear sky conditions and cold temperatures elsewhere. Will have to monitor the potential for freezing fog development across portions of western, central and southern Arkansas through daybreak. Sfc ridging will drift E/SE away from the state today and SW winds will increase as this happens. This will lead to increasing temperatures across the state both today and tonight. 24 hr temp differences during this timeframe could be nearly 20 degrees F in some cases, quite a noticeable warmup for some. A cold front will move through on Wednesday which will temper the warmup expected across the state somewhat. NW winds will increase and the warmest readings are expected across southern AR. The warmup will commence once again for the Thu-Fri timeframe as the low level flow remains out of the SW. Another weak front will move through on Friday after peak heating, with cooler temperatures expected for the Friday night timeframe. The main change will take place from Saturday into Sunday as yet another cold front will move through, but this one will lead the charge of an Arctic airmass. Much colder air will spill in with highs on Sunday likely limited to the 30s F for much of the state. Overnight lows in the 20s F will be fairly widespread as well. While the state will be impacted by the cold air, the center of the sfc ridge associated with the cold airmass will remain northeast of the state. This will lead to the coldest air being well NE of Arkansas by hundreds of miles. Also, this will lead to a pretty good temperature spread from northeast to southwest across the state this weekend into early next week. There remains very little signal for any moisture through the period. The main change over the past 24 hours is that there could be some showers on Saturday, with some low POPs included with this forecast. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 533 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Expect turbulent condns acrs the FA thru the new TAF PD. Modest SWrly winds should persist thru the overnight PD at area terminals, ahead of an aprchg cdfrnt. LLWS concerns wl be prevalent overnight, and have included mentions at all terminals. The aforementioned cdfrnt wl move acrs the state b/w 12-18Z Wed, w/ gusty NWrly winds of 15 to 20 kts prevailing behind the frnt. VFR condns should prevail, w/ attendant mid to high level cloud cover thru the PD. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 33 56 33 54 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 32 61 32 57 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 35 51 32 57 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 33 58 34 56 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 33 58 34 55 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 34 61 35 56 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 34 60 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 34 53 31 55 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 41 56 34 51 / 10 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 32 60 33 55 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 32 59 33 58 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 30 58 32 54 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 35 58 34 53 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...67 AVIATION...72